PnL all-time−$101vol $1,432
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 59.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$147cash n/a
Positions3 / 15open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$101below peak −$62Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable39
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October? · Noclosed−$145Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20? · Yesclosed−$70Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April? · Yesclosed−$21Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5? · Yesopen−$6.00Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025? · Yesopen−$2.00
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 147 | 68.1¢ | 100¢ | $147 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025? | Yes | 67 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5? | Yes | 8 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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