sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,739

gavinfunda

0xb92…0803
PoliticsWeatherOtherSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$23.7kvol $2.48M
PnL 30d−$8,812gains $74 · losses $2,118
PnL 7d−$2,384win rate 7d 5.8%
Win rate5.8%adj 7.6% · 30d 5.8%
Open value$165cash n/a
Positions836 / 9,241open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 17m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$22.6kbelow peak −$22.7kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 5.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No9370¢60.5¢$56−$8.84−$6.56
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?No15023.3¢20.5¢$31−$4.25−$10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?No2084¢81.5¢$16−$0.50$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?No2078¢76¢$15−$0.40$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?No2080¢68¢$14−$2.40$0
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes2067¢53.5¢$11−$2.70$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Messi2061¢52.5¢$11−$1.70$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?No1178¢61.5¢$6.92−$1.86−$0.44
Will a Senior or Graduate win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes10023.2¢4¢$4.00−$19$0
Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?Yes2022¢4.5¢$0.90−$3.50$0
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality5000.1¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 6?Yes4001¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-30?No30098¢0¢$0−$294$0
Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No3000.1¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 17?Down3000.1¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No27822.7¢0¢$0−$63−$57
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No2500.5¢0¢$0−$1.35−$1.27
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 6, 2026?No2500.1¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 31, 2026?No2500.1¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?No2503¢0¢$0−$7.50$0
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?No2500.1¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 18?Down2500.1¢0¢$0−$0.35$0
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 4, 2026?No2500.2¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes2400.8¢0¢$0−$1.92+$1.42
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Yes2401¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?Yes2203.5¢0¢$0−$7.60$0
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?No2200.2¢0¢$0−$0.44+$1.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?Yes2101.2¢0¢$0−$2.50$0
Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No2010.1¢0¢$0−$0.23−$4.97
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20−$129
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20−$4.25
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 7?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 9?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?No2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 28?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 7?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on February 19?No2001¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 9?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 6?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?Down2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes2003¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 30?Yes2000.3¢0¢$0−$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 1?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 19?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 10?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 6?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 2?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?Up2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 5?Yes2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 30?Yes2000.3¢0¢$0−$0.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 6?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 1?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 7?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 8?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on July 6?No2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?No2000.3¢0¢$0−$0.60$0
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No2000.2¢0¢$0−$0.40−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 6?No2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?4¢100$4.006%27
SELL NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 700,000 and 750,000?65¢20$136%27
SELL YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?15.6¢33$5.176%27
SELL YesWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?16.6¢117$196%27
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?34¢60$206%27
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?37¢30$116%27
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?35¢60$216%27
SELL NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?56¢20$116%27
SELL NoWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?72.4¢150$1096%27
SELL NoWill annual inflation be 3.6% in September?51¢150$776%27
SELL YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?72¢50$366%27
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 20%-25%?75¢20$156%27
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?76.2¢131$996%27
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?76.3¢19$156%27
SELL YesWill Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?82¢150$1236%27
SELL NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?86.3¢200$1736%27
SELL YamalBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?52¢20$106%27
SELL YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?21¢20$4.206%27
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?3.3¢20$0.666%27
SELL YesWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?76.9¢11$8.536%27