PnL all-time−$3,648vol $145k
PnL 30d+$180gains $378 · losses $263
PnL 7d+$11win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.1%adj 52.5% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$2,554cash n/a
Positions12 / 110open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,346below peak −$4,628Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.1% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,181Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$893US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Noclosed+$703Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$667Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31? · Yesclosed+$665
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noclosed−$1,877Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? · Yesclosed−$1,711Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$1,334Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$675Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$650
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 79.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $835 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 758 | 66¢ | 84.5¢ | $640 | +$140 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $310 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 320 | 80¢ | 75.5¢ | $242 | −$14 | −$12 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 240 | 50.8¢ | 58¢ | $139 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Yes | 357 | 28¢ | 38.5¢ | $137 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 410 | 33¢ | 33.5¢ | $137 | +$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | No | 525 | 21.5¢ | 21.5¢ | $113 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | BetBoom Team | 405 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$320 | −$2.02 | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Xtreme Gaming | 400 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$0.82 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | Yes | 225 | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | $0 | |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | Over | 144 | 69.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.52 |
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