PnL all-time−$37vol $26.7k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.5%adj 54.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,461cash n/a
Positions10 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.2%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$37below peak −$36Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.5% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? · Noclosed+$3.61Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m? · Yesclosed+$1.72Will the United Arab Emirates win Miss Universe 2025? · Noclosed+$1.68Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Noopen+$1.04Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? · Noclosed+$1.03
Worst markets
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? · Yesopen−$20Will 'Fatal' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? · Yesopen−$8.48Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10? · Yesopen−$5.72Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 24 at 5PM ET? · Yesopen−$4.40Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2? · Noopen−$2.25
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 520 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $520 | +$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open? | No | 400 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026? | No | 300 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 30? | Yes | 240 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $240 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Yes | 690 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 570 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will 'Fatal' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? | Yes | 538 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.48 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 24 at 5PM ET? | Yes | 489 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10? | Yes | 302 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.72 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2? | No | 263 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.25 | $0 |
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