sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #5,692

Manchild

0xb9a…f50f@TomlinsHotDog
SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$919vol $126k
PnL 30d−$421gains $336 · losses $40
PnL 7d+$166win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.4%adj 46.6% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$3,493cash n/a
Positions74 / 351open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,983below peak −$561Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 46.4% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d70
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 74

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes7,6628.1¢12.5¢$958+$333$0
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?Yes85441.8¢94.1¢$803+$446$0
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?No65344.7¢56¢$366+$74+$13
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?No25334.8¢99.6¢$252+$164+$51
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes22043¢92.5¢$204+$109$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026?No19162.2¢93.5¢$178+$59+$22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,0754.2¢4.6¢$140+$12$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No10058¢87.5¢$88+$30$0
Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?No8069.8¢97¢$78+$22$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes15268¢47.5¢$72−$31$0
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes8377.2¢77.6¢$65+$0.34$0
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?Yes4835.6¢94.5¢$45+$28$0
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?No3586¢97.6¢$34+$4.11$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3864.3¢88.3¢$34+$9.10$0
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes10234.8¢30.9¢$31−$4.00$0
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes4723.2¢49.5¢$24+$12$0
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes60327.2¢3.7¢$22−$142$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,0000.2¢1¢$20+$16$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No2075¢89.5¢$18+$2.90$0
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,4960.8¢0.9¢$13+$0.85$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1084¢97.8¢$9.78+$1.38$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes7426¢8.6¢$6.43−$13$0
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?No717¢91.6¢$6.39+$5.20$0
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026?No685¢96.9¢$5.81+$0.71$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No587¢96.2¢$4.81+$0.46$0
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,2414.2¢0.4¢$4.34−$48$0
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?No555¢68.5¢$3.42+$0.68$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1002.7¢2.5¢$2.45−$0.25$0
Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026?Yes2328.8¢6¢$1.39−$5.28+$4.11
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5000.2¢0.1¢$1.25−$3.75$0
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?No256.9¢69.5¢$1.08+$0.20−$2.35
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes205¢3.8¢$0.76−$0.24$0
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes1680.7¢0.5¢$0.76−$0.39$0
Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes7510.7¢0.8¢$0.56−$7.44$0
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes47013.9¢0.1¢$0.23−$65$0
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes102¢1.9¢$0.19−$0.01$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?Yes531¢3¢$0.15−$1.40$0
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes2970.7¢0.1¢$0.15−$1.92$0
Will Azamat Murzakanov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes553¢0.1¢$0.06−$1.59$0
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes256.8¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.67$0
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes250.8¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.19$0
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes5,0750.4¢0¢$0−$19−$0.20
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes3,8820.7¢0¢$0−$28−$0.84
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes2,0760.3¢0¢$0−$6.23−$0.19
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)JooSang Yoo1,45910¢0¢$0−$146$0
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?Yes1,0281¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0001¢0¢$0−$10−$0.30
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes1,00042.3¢0¢$0−$423−$2.45
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?Yes7690.2¢0¢$0−$1.54$0
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes6000.9¢0¢$0−$5.40$0
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Yes5400.2¢0¢$0−$1.08$0
Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons3591.1¢0¢$0−$3.82−$0.11
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Iwo Baraniewski30478.5¢0¢$0−$239−$2.47
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Under28210.5¢0¢$0−$30−$0.51
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Under2717.4¢0¢$0−$20−$0.56
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?Yes25422.7¢0¢$0−$57+$260
UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Brunno Ferreira22219.8¢0¢$0−$44−$1.76
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?Yes21916.9¢0¢$0−$37$0
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Under2106.8¢0¢$0−$14−$0.38
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Yes20921¢0¢$0−$44−$0.93
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2053¢0¢$0−$6.15$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of September 7 2026?Yes2000.1¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under15062¢0¢$0−$93−$1.06
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Alexandre Pantoja1233.6¢0¢$0−$4.43$0
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No11733.6¢0¢$0−$39−$1.30
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?Yes10024¢0¢$0−$24−$0.55
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes1008¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.22
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?No10030.8¢0¢$0−$31−$0.64
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Giants next?Yes740.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Yes657¢0¢$0−$4.53$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes602.4¢0¢$0−$1.44$0
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?Yes367.7¢0¢$0−$2.75$0
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?Yes1140¢0¢$0−$4.32−$0.08
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?Yes528¢0¢$0−$1.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?94.4¢30$2846%49
BUY YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?4.2¢1,975$8346%49
BUY YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.2¢2,000$4.0046%49
BUY YesWill Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?35¢41$1446%49
BUY YesWill Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?34.7¢31$1146%49
BUY YesWill Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?34.6¢20$6.9246%49
BUY Iwo BaraniewskiUFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)73¢137$10046%49
BUY Iwo BaraniewskiUFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)71.2¢55$3946%49
BUY Iwo BaraniewskiUFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)88.8¢113$10046%49
BUY Marlon VeraUFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)80¢125$10046%49
BUY Marlon VeraUFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)66¢100$6646%49
BUY Marlon VeraUFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)44.7¢198$8946%49
BUY Marlon VeraUFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)40¢50$2046%49
BUY Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)22¢101$2246%49
BUY Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)18¢51$9.1846%49
BUY Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)18¢20$3.6046%49
BUY Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)18¢50$9.0046%49
BUY OverO/U 1.5 Rounds56¢71$4046%49
BUY UnderBroncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.550¢77$3946%49
BUY YesWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.2¢2,500$5.0046%49