PnL all-time−$362kvol $238k
PnL 30d+$2,262gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$833win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.4%adj 55.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$231kcash n/a
Positions1 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.8%of equity peak
Account age5.9ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$353kbelow peak −$357Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? · Noclosed+$98.7kWill 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? · Noclosed+$81.8kWill Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? · Yesclosed+$33.9kWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$31.1kWhat will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? · Shortclosed+$15.2k
Worst markets
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? · Yesclosed−$278kWill Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? · Noclosed−$261kWhat will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? · Longclosed−$10.3kWhich party will control the senate? · Democraticclosed−$9,896Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? · Noclosed−$8,991
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 238k | 84¢ | 97.1¢ | $231k | +$31.1k | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 84¢ | 108k | $90.5k | 59% | 12 | Whale | ||
| BUY No | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 84¢ | 130k | $109k | 59% | 12 | Whale |