sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

alfredwaring

0xba3…0e3a
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$312vol $8,810
PnL 30d+$81gains $227 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$81win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 63.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$795cash n/a
Positions15 / 22open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.4%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$337below peak −$155Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity50

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes79463¢62.5¢$496−$3.97$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?Yes10056¢100¢$100+$44−$0.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes10061¢100¢$100+$39−$0.71
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15664¢63.5¢$99−$0.78$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes90111.1¢0¢$0−$100−$2.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes59916.7¢0¢$0−$100−$2.50
Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes56517.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No35128.5¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?Yes33330¢0¢$0−$100−$3.50
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes22744¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes19226¢0¢$0−$50−$1.85
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?Yes12282¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes10298.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?Yes10061¢0¢$0−$61$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?64¢156$100100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?63¢794$500100%30
BUY YesWill Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?26¢192$50100%30
BUY YesWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?30¢333$100100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?68¢735$500100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?82¢610$500100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?61¢100$61100%30
BUY YesWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?56¢100$56100%30
BUY YesWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11.1¢901$100100%30
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?15.4¢649$100100%30
BUY YesWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?16.7¢599$100100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?62¢323$200100%30
BUY YesWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?98.1¢102$100100%30
BUY YesAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?10¢1,000$100100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?61¢100$61100%30
BUY YesWill Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?44¢225$99100%30
BUY YesWill Arsenal win on 2024-12-27?86¢465$400100%30
BUY YesWill Real Madrid win La Liga?44¢227$100100%30
BUY YesBitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?82¢122$100100%30
BUY NoWill Israel invade Syria in 2024?28.5¢351$100100%30