PnL all-time−$244vol $131k
PnL 30d−$322gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$316win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.4%adj 56.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$884cash n/a
Positions25 / 165open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$281below peak −$2,533Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.4% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$926Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20? · Yesclosed+$829Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 · Overclosed+$739Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026? · Yesclosed+$371UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars · UNCW Seahawksclosed+$369
Worst markets
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? · Noclosed−$593Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? · Noopen−$479Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$463Adelaide 36ers vs. Sydney Kings · Sydney Kingsopen−$450Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31? · Noclosed−$319
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 565 | 63¢ | 91.5¢ | $517 | +$161 | $0 | |
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka | Afghanistan | 765 | 21¢ | 47.5¢ | $363 | +$203 | $0 | |
| Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | No | 144 | 56¢ | 100¢ | $144 | +$63 | −$276 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 360 | 38.3¢ | 4.5¢ | $16 | −$122 | $0 |
Recent trades
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