sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

42012

0xba8…009d
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$35.3kvol $10.3M
PnL 30d−$3,135gains $7,070 · losses $3,525
PnL 7d−$2,146win rate 7d 65.5%
Win rate47.7%adj 47.8% · 30d 48.4%
Open value$7,349cash n/a
Positions242 / 7,046open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.2%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$34.7kbelow peak −$4,980Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 47.7% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No3018.2¢100¢$301+$276+$84
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Yes97932.1¢29.5¢$289−$25+$3.33
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No67537.1¢39.5¢$267+$16+$50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo28787¢91.5¢$263+$13+$12
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No42360.2¢59.5¢$252−$3.09+$89
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 10?No21261.3¢100¢$212+$82−$8.51
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?No21396¢96.7¢$206+$1.49−$14
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No43563.1¢46.5¢$202−$72+$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 7?No18778.6¢100¢$187+$40+$3.80
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?No15240.1¢100¢$152+$91+$17
Will Halesowen Town FC win on 2026-10-06?No15053¢100¢$150+$71$0
Penguins vs. CapitalsCapitals14254.4¢100¢$142+$65$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 2?No14259.1¢100¢$142+$58−$3.89
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 6?Up14039¢100¢$140+$85$0
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Yes50928.8¢27¢$137−$9.17−$57
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 5?No13692¢100¢$136+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 8?No13190.8¢100¢$131+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 1?No11955.2¢100¢$119+$53+$11
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No12293¢95.4¢$117+$2.88+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?No11640.7¢100¢$116+$69−$4.88
Spread: Grenada (-1.5)Bonaire11659¢100¢$116+$48+$2.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 30?No11290¢100¢$112+$11+$3.87
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Yes65719¢16¢$105−$20+$46
Grenada vs. Bonaire: Grenada O/U 1.5Under9938¢100¢$99+$61$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?No13871¢71.5¢$99+$0.69$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 3?No9476.6¢100¢$94+$22+$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?No9234.8¢100¢$92+$60−$29
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerLOUD8986.7¢100¢$89+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?No8644.1¢100¢$86+$48+$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?No19950¢42.5¢$84−$15−$0.10
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?Yes15815.9¢53¢$84+$59$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 12?No9979.6¢84.5¢$84+$4.82$0
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?No8693¢96¢$83+$2.58$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?No19636¢41¢$80+$9.80$0
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerNRG8022.4¢100¢$80+$62−$1.36
Grenada vs. Bonaire: Bonaire O/U 0.5Over8053¢100¢$80+$38$0
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes91325.2¢8.5¢$78−$153−$33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30?No7786¢100¢$77+$11$0
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: O/U 61.5Over7554¢100¢$75+$35$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?No7452¢100¢$74+$35+$4.44
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Yes47336.8¢15.5¢$73−$101$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over7243¢100¢$72+$41$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?No13757¢51.5¢$71−$7.53$0
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Serbia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over6827¢100¢$68+$50$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes29918¢22.5¢$67+$13+$46
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 7?Down6282¢100¢$62+$11$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes21525.5¢28.5¢$61+$6.47+$1.66
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes29826¢19¢$57−$21−$4.66
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes29921.5¢18.5¢$55−$8.99$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 3?No5165¢100¢$51+$18+$4.26
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?No29919.2¢17¢$51−$6.45$0
Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?No5094¢98.9¢$49+$2.42$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?No4683¢100¢$46+$7.82+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5?No4469.3¢100¢$44+$13+$15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?No4358.8¢100¢$43+$18+$3.90
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No15623.1¢27.5¢$43+$6.93−$91
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 7?No4272.1¢100¢$42+$12+$2.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8?No4174¢100¢$41+$11−$4.85
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?No4376¢94.1¢$40+$7.69+$1.26
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Yes12948¢27.5¢$35−$26$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2748.4¢12.5¢$34+$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?Yes3163.9¢100¢$31+$11+$13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?No3472¢90.5¢$31+$6.32$0
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes29911.1¢9.5¢$28−$4.78+$5.04
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?Yes49220¢5.5¢$27−$72$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?Yes2648.6¢100¢$26+$13+$6.07
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes29921.7¢8.5¢$25−$40+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5?No2387.6¢100¢$23+$2.86−$0.18
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes30011.7¢7.5¢$22−$12$0
Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?No4047.5¢54.6¢$22+$2.82+$1.75
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes27913.3¢7.5¢$21−$16+$105
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No7130.1¢26.9¢$19−$2.28+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 5?No1974.2¢100¢$19+$4.89−$0.86
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes3008¢6¢$18−$5.99+$23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1?No1888¢100¢$18+$2.10+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?No1733.8¢100¢$17+$12−$9.98
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes34517.6¢5¢$17−$43+$18
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?No1774.6¢99.6¢$17+$4.22$0
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Yes29920.4¢5.5¢$16−$45+$1.62
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?No3625.7¢4.5¢$16−$4.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?Yes1554.9¢100¢$15+$6.78+$9.60
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2997.1¢4.5¢$13−$7.73−$2.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 5?No1367.4¢100¢$13+$4.25+$13
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Yes4028¢32.5¢$13+$1.80$0
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals1340¢100¢$13+$7.79+$11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5?No1365.9¢100¢$13+$4.38+$1.78
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes1388.6¢8.5¢$12−$0.11−$117
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3005.7¢3.8¢$11−$5.97+$17
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageJD Gaming1182¢100¢$11+$1.98+$2.88
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes30034¢3.6¢$11−$91$0
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3424.9¢29¢$9.96+$1.42+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 12?Yes6710.4¢14.5¢$9.68+$2.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 2?Yes1044.4¢100¢$9.60+$5.34+$43
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?No2041.2¢47.5¢$9.59+$1.26−$1.38
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?No2126¢4.5¢$9.54−$3.18$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes8010.8¢11.1¢$8.85+$0.20+$30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?Yes1441¢57.5¢$8.15+$2.34$0
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?Yes2089¢3.8¢$7.92−$11$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes3002.8¢2.6¢$7.79−$0.61+$2.11
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?Yes5008.5¢1.5¢$7.50−$35$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Isaias peak at Category 3?83¢36$3048%62
SELL YesWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?59¢27$1648%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?59¢20$1248%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?58¢30$1748%62
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8?49¢94$4648%62
SELL MOUZ NXTCounter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B50¢12$6.0048%62
SELL NoWill Cyprus win on 2026-10-05?37¢126$4748%62
SELL Mississippi StateAlabama vs. Mississippi State35¢144$5048%62
SELL NoWill Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?90.5¢195$17648%62
SELL Sashi EsportCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Voca (BO1) - ROG Journey Group D63¢71$4548%62
SELL VocaCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Voca (BO1) - ROG Journey Group D37¢128$4748%62
SELL BASEMENT BOYSCounter-Strike: Voca vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - ROG Journey Group D41¢98$4048%62
SELL KrytiepacaniCounter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Krytiepacani (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs46¢5$2.3048%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?50¢5$2.5048%62
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?49¢5$2.4548%62
SELL No changeNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?65¢139$9048%62
SELL No changeNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?64¢156$10048%62
SELL Hike 25 bpsNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?37¢158$5848%62
SELL Hike 25 bpsNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?40¢166$6648%62
SELL Jacob FearnleyPorto 2: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Jacob Fearnley94.1¢59$5648%62