sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,719

delphy

0xbb2…5bbf
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,853vol $226k
PnL 30d+$733gains $542 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$120win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate97.7%adj 82.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$32.2kcash n/a
Positions20 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,908below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 97.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Noclosed+$2,620US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,144Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Noclosed+$952Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Noclosed+$515Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Noclosed+$414

Worst markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Noclosed−$68Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · Noopen−$1.58

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No4,93792.6¢97.4¢$4,806+$234$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No4,79581.6¢88¢$4,220+$306$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No4,19195.4¢96.8¢$4,055+$55$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No3,12995.9¢97.8¢$3,058+$58$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No3,03398.9¢98.9¢$2,998−$1.58$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No3,04789.2¢90.1¢$2,747+$28$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2,09795¢95.4¢$2,000+$8.39$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No1,60586¢95.5¢$1,532+$152$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?No1,39896.4¢98.4¢$1,375+$28$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No1,33496¢97.5¢$1,300+$20$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No1,08792¢96.2¢$1,046+$46$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No84195.8¢97.3¢$818+$13$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No65597¢97.7¢$640+$4.77$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes65984.8¢88¢$580+$21$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?No30396¢98¢$297+$6.06$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No24091.1¢91.5¢$219+$0.90$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No18997¢98.6¢$186+$2.95$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?No16297.1¢97.9¢$158+$1.25$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No8895.9¢97.6¢$86+$1.42$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?No7496.6¢97.5¢$72+$0.64$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?88.1¢504$44498%60
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?91.1¢240$21898%60
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?98.9¢3,033$3,00098%60
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89.1¢1,678$1,49498%60
BUY NoWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?87.6¢2,158$1,89098%60
SELL NoWill Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?99.9¢4,000$3,99698%60
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89.5¢759$67998%60
SELL NoWill Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?99.6¢400$39898%60
BUY NoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?89.4¢610$54698%60
BUY NoIran leadership change by September 30?97.1¢44$4298%60
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95.8¢2,191$2,10098%60
BUY NoWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?80.7¢546$44098%60
SELL NoWill Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?99.7¢2,589$2,58198%60
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?74¢155$11598%60
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?95¢2,097$1,99298%60
BUY NoIran Nuke before 2027?95¢1,999$1,90098%60
BUY NoWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?97.4¢502$48998%60
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?92¢1,087$1,00098%60
BUY NoWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?75.7¢2,091$1,58398%60
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?99¢923$91498%60