PnL all-time+$207kvol $9.07M
PnL 30d+$27.0kgains $26.7k · losses $0
PnL 7d+$96win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.9%adj 73.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$609cash n/a
Positions7 / 957open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$212kbelow peak −$36Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 73.9% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d45
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yesclosed+$22.3kWyoming vs. Central Michigan · Central Michiganclosed+$19.7kWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$10.0kWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? · Noclosed+$8,669Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? · Yesclosed+$8,254
Worst markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed−$22.6kWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? · Noclosed−$7,272Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Noclosed−$6,084Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? · Yesclosed−$5,258Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Noclosed−$3,591
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 310 | 78¢ | 97.9¢ | $304 | +$62 | +$15 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | Yes | 493 | 89.1¢ | 38.2¢ | $188 | −$251 | $0 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 53.3¢ | 23.5¢ | $71 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 22 | 72¢ | 91.5¢ | $20 | +$4.35 | $0 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 20 | 15¢ | 53.9¢ | $11 | +$7.77 | $0 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31? | Yes | 87 | 18¢ | 11¢ | $9.53 | −$6.06 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 60¢ | 55.5¢ | $5.79 | −$0.47 | $0 |
Recent trades
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