sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,178

WindTakeMeNorth

0xbbe…e2b0
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.9kvol $432k
PnL 30d+$1,824gains $7,687 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$712win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.3%adj 65.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$47.0kcash n/a
Positions66 / 216open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$31.1kbelow peak −$324Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 67.3% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 66

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No32.9k68.8¢81.5¢$26.8k+$4,173$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No14.7k92¢98¢$14.4k+$889$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No3,45990.3¢90.5¢$3,130+$7.16$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No3,86128.5¢37.5¢$1,448+$349$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?Yes75092¢97¢$728+$38$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No1,76227¢17.5¢$308−$167$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes14445¢54¢$78+$13$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20033¢34.5¢$69+$3.00$0
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No3578.1¢86.5¢$30+$2.92$0
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Yes1003.3¢4.9¢$4.85+$1.55$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes1004.9¢2.7¢$2.65−$2.25$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025No15.9k5.4¢0¢$0−$853$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No14.6k9.5¢0¢$0−$1,388$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No14.5k34¢0¢$0−$4,925$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No8,9490.7¢0¢$0−$65−$2.11
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No8,8032.8¢0¢$0−$244$0
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?Yes7,6636.4¢0¢$0−$488−$21
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No2,05050¢0¢$0−$1,025$0
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes1,09131.8¢0¢$0−$347−$12
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?No8887.6¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will EA say "EA Sports FC" during earnings call?Yes8738.6¢0¢$0−$75$0
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Yes80678¢0¢$0−$629$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No80021¢0¢$0−$168$0
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)SK Gaming66410.8¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No6009.4¢0¢$0−$57$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 9?Yes4802.1¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes40964¢0¢$0−$262$0
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp26261¢0¢$0−$160$0
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown25571.5¢0¢$0−$182$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp24820.8¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 9?Yes2232.2¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No21767.5¢0¢$0−$146$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?No20145.1¢0¢$0−$91$0
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)EDward Gaming20062¢0¢$0−$124$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?Yes20064¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?Yes1926¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 9?Yes1576.4¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)Movistar KOI15551.7¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?Yes1535¢0¢$0−$7.65$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp15352.3¢0¢$0−$80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETDown14768¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 11?Yes14514.7¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?No13211.3¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?Yes13021.9¢0¢$0−$28$0
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETDown11443.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?No10642.9¢0¢$0−$45+$7.39
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes10021¢0¢$0−$21$0
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown9720.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No9429¢0¢$0−$27$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown9022.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No9012.9¢0¢$0−$12$0
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?Yes8817.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp8558.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETDown7912.6¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown7626.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp7327.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?No605.3¢0¢$0−$3.20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown5536.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 5PM ETDown5357¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?Yes3710¢0¢$0−$3.70$0
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?Yes3423.7¢0¢$0−$8.05$0
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.8M in Q1?Yes339¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp2968.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp2581.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown1473.7¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?38¢150$5767%70
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?82¢1,126$92367%70
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?38¢127$4867%70
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?91¢2,450$2,23067%70
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?81¢2,215$1,79467%70
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?81¢6,100$4,94167%70
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?27¢1,200$32467%70
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?27¢1,300$35167%70
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?31¢258$8067%70
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?44.9¢100$4567%70
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?33¢200$6667%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?0.4¢1,508$6.0367%70
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45.1¢44$2067%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?0.4¢881$3.5267%70
BUY NoAnthropic IPO before 2027?27¢331$8967%70
BUY NoAnthropic IPO before 2027?27¢500$13567%70
BUY NoAnthropic IPO before 2027?27¢931$25167%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?0.2¢2,395$4.7967%70
BUY YesWill Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?3.3¢100$3.3067%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?0.4¢501$2.0067%70