PnL all-time−$364vol $463k
PnL 30d+$267gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$36win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.6%adj 74.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,389cash n/a
Positions16 / 628open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$186below peak −$644Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.6% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,565Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? · Yesclosed+$1,725US government shutdown by October 1? · Yesclosed+$1,191TikTok sale announced in 2025? · Yesclosed+$1,141Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Noclosed+$891
Worst markets
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$3,952Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Noclosed−$2,957Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$2,827Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? · Yesclosed−$2,319Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$2,000
Open positions · 16
Recent trades
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