sharpside
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Traders/Rank #545

inducedchance

0xbcd…0790
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$377kvol $1.54M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 53.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$140cash n/a
Positions5 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 10mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$377kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes10085¢100¢$100+$15$0
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No2077.5¢100¢$20+$4.50$0
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No1089¢100¢$10+$1.10$0
Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?Yes1098.7¢100¢$10+$0.13$0
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?Yes265.8¢0¢$0−$1.32$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?65.8¢2$1.3267%33
BUY YesWill exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?98.7¢10$9.8767%33
BUY NoWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?89¢10$8.9067%33
BUY YesWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?85¢100$8567%33
BUY NoSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?80¢10$8.0067%33
BUY YesWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?70¢16$1267%33
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?51.6¢57.1k$29.5k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?51.9¢22.3k$11.6k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?49.9¢33.7k$16.8k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?49.4¢143k$70.9k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?52¢192k$100k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?6¢14.8k$88567%33
BUY YesWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?9¢11.6k$1,04467%33
BUY YesWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?6¢40.2k$2,41067%33
BUY YesWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?8.8¢30.0k$2,64667%33
BUY YesWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?6.9¢13.4k$93367%33
BUY YesWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?6.5¢7,505$48867%33
BUY YesWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?8¢54.3k$4,34567%33
SELL YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?63.5¢25.0k$15.9k67%33Whale
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?68¢68.0k$46.3k67%33Whale