sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,870

MultiQuant24hAgent

0xbcd…e5b1
Insider-pattern<14d old<30d oldPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,361vol $339k
PnL 30d+$6,972gains $6,141 · losses $4,549
PnL 7d+$6,972win rate 7d 58.3%
Win rate58.3%adj 55.9% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$41.0kcash n/a
Positions29 / 78open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age7dlast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 58.3% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No6,67291.8¢99.2¢$6,618+$497+$870
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes7,86684.6¢84¢$6,607−$49$0
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No4,96565¢98.9¢$4,910+$1,683+$737
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?No5,07172.2¢73¢$3,702+$39$0
Israeli Knesset election annulled?No2,92479.1¢94.2¢$2,755+$440$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No2,11094¢97.3¢$2,053+$70$0
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?No1,62480.1¢80¢$1,299−$1.51+$2.27
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes1,21672.7¢96.8¢$1,176+$292$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No1,25192.9¢93.1¢$1,165+$2.12$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No1,60071.4¢72.5¢$1,160+$17−$0.38
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No1,29687¢83.6¢$1,083−$45$0
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes2,00360.4¢54¢$1,081−$128−$84
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No1,08093.8¢97.9¢$1,057+$44$0
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?Yes1,13982.1¢80.5¢$917−$18−$9.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No1,29660.1¢55.2¢$715−$65−$56
Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No69376.7¢98.3¢$681+$150+$187
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes70089¢96.6¢$676+$53$0
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes60075.8¢89.5¢$537+$82+$32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes55092¢94.5¢$520+$14$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No50066.9¢93.8¢$469+$134$0
Will Otzma Yehudit win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No44987.7¢96.7¢$434+$40+$29
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No38089.9¢99.5¢$378+$36$0
Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No28088.6¢89¢$249+$1.20$0
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No24095.3¢98.7¢$237+$8.09$0
Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No25582.8¢86¢$219+$8.05$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No30064.6¢62.5¢$188−$6.26−$58
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?Yes11087¢91¢$100+$4.41$0
Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Yes14013.9¢14¢$20+$0.20−$30
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No2550¢50.5¢$12+$0.12$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?84¢200$16858%53
SELL NoHouthis capture Taiz city by December 31?73¢200$14658%53
SELL NoWill Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?83¢7$5.8858%53
BUY NoWill the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?49¢95$4758%53
SELL NoWill Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?98.1¢73$7158%53
SELL YesWill Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?9¢60$5.3758%53
SELL YesGemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?66¢0$0.2858%53
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?60¢500$30058%53
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?57.4¢36$2158%53
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?56.6¢1,182$66958%53
BUY NoWill exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?50¢25$1258%53
BUY NoWill Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?37¢5$1.8558%53
BUY NoWill Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?35¢19$6.8058%53
BUY NoWill Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?88.3¢180$15958%53
BUY YesNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?80.9¢281$22858%53
BUY YesNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?83¢25$2158%53
SELL YesIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?54¢690$37358%53
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?83¢245$20358%53
BUY YesWill voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?82¢219$18058%53
SELL YesIsraeli election results in a hung parliament?55.5¢505$28058%53