sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

NotAnIdiot

0xbce…0049
WeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$468vol $63.6k
PnL 30d+$227gains $1,006 · losses $808
PnL 7d+$284win rate 7d 49.5%
Win rate52.7%adj 52.5% · 30d 48.6%
Open value$6,496cash n/a
Positions264 / 512open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 15m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$520below peak −$2,309Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 52.7% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity11

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes69991.9¢95.6¢$667+$25$0
Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?No1,01247.9¢53.5¢$541+$56$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes1,01248.5¢47.5¢$481−$10$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes35087¢87.5¢$306+$1.75$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election?No20193.3¢94¢$189+$1.40−$9.69
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?No20089¢90.8¢$181+$3.40$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No17597.6¢95.9¢$168−$3.06$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No27859¢59.5¢$165+$1.39−$56
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes27657.4¢58.5¢$161+$3.14−$51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election?No15795.1¢96.9¢$152+$2.77$0
Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?No15497.2¢96.2¢$148−$1.53$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election?No14493.2¢94.9¢$137+$2.37$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?No13894¢95.6¢$132+$2.21$0
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No14091.5¢92.2¢$129+$0.89$0
Will CeeDee Lamb have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes20751.6¢61.5¢$127+$21−$0.36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No27836¢41.5¢$115+$15+$72
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No11461.2¢99.9¢$114+$44+$1.06
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?No11497¢98.7¢$113+$1.94−$26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes27639.5¢40.5¢$112+$2.85+$56
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No13576.9¢75¢$101−$2.67−$21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election?No10094.4¢96.4¢$96+$1.96$0
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 5% or more?No13996.9¢69¢$96−$39$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?No9890.4¢90.8¢$89+$0.34$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?No10882.8¢82.2¢$89−$0.73−$31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?No8789.4¢96.2¢$84+$5.90$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election?No8496.8¢98.2¢$82+$1.13$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election?No8496.5¢97.8¢$82+$1.05$0
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-13 House election by 0%-5%?No11596.3¢69.5¢$80−$31$0
Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No20742.1¢37.5¢$78−$9.61+$0.81
Will Christian Watson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes9469.9¢76¢$71+$5.78$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election?No7593.9¢91.9¢$69−$1.47$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-18 House seat?No6694.9¢95.8¢$63+$0.59$0
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No5497.7¢97.6¢$53−$0.08−$24
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more?No6193.9¢80¢$49−$8.45$0
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6066.1¢77¢$46+$6.52−$12
Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?No4687.8¢99¢$46+$5.13−$29
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election?No6796¢64¢$43−$21$0
Will Brock Bowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6077¢69¢$41−$4.80−$10
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4683¢86¢$40+$1.38$0
Will Terry McLaurin have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4192¢94¢$39+$0.82$0
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election?No5093.8¢75.5¢$38−$9.13$0
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?No3897.5¢98.4¢$38+$0.34$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 0%-3%?No4087¢93¢$37+$2.40−$9.36
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?No35011¢10.5¢$37−$1.75$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes13519.6¢26.5¢$36+$9.26+$22
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?No3691.2¢90.5¢$33−$0.27$0
Will Jayden Daniels have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No3493¢94.1¢$32+$0.36$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?No3097.6¢97.7¢$29$0$0
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No2995.9¢100¢$29+$1.18$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes6987¢3.8¢$26−$22−$9.71
Will Trey McBride have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4060¢64¢$26+$1.60−$2.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?No2792.9¢91.6¢$25−$0.35$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election?No2597.6¢98.3¢$25+$0.18$0
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?No2597.1¢97.7¢$24+$0.14$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election?No2593¢97.5¢$24+$1.11$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No4610¢44.5¢$20+$16$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2580¢81.5¢$20+$0.38$0
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?No2097.8¢97.5¢$19−$0.07$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No2009¢9.5¢$19+$1.00$0
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election?No2598¢74.5¢$19−$5.88$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?No2085¢86¢$17+$0.20$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No1895.6¢95.2¢$17−$0.08$0
Will Christian Watson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No9423.4¢18¢$17−$5.06$0
Will Brock Bowers have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6015¢28¢$17+$7.80+$12
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?No10815¢15.5¢$17+$0.54+$32
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?Yes1797¢95.2¢$16−$0.31$0
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No6125¢25.5¢$16+$0.30+$14
Will Trey McBride have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4034¢38.5¢$15+$1.80+$2.98
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election?No1595¢95.6¢$14+$0.08−$121
Will Jameson Williams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2556¢56.5¢$14+$0.13+$0.70
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No1498.8¢99.7¢$14+$0.12$0
Will Jameson Williams have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes2537.2¢45.5¢$11+$2.08+$1.10
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No1186.3¢95.7¢$11+$1.03$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes1406.1¢7.5¢$10+$1.85$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Yes2013.9¢4.8¢$9.54+$1.63+$9.74
Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1450¢62.5¢$8.75+$1.75+$1.50
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No983.3¢88.5¢$8.10+$0.47−$12
Will Garrett Wilson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1461¢51.5¢$7.39−$1.37−$5.49
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Yes1561.9¢4.6¢$7.09+$4.07$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?Yes986.7¢6.6¢$6.40−$0.11$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes878¢6.5¢$5.66−$1.30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?No1401.6¢4.1¢$5.65+$3.45$0
Will Lamar Jackson have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes1444¢39¢$5.46−$0.70+$0.19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes1381.9¢3.8¢$5.17+$2.59$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election?Yes1131.8¢4.5¢$5.10+$3.09$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Yes4011¢12.5¢$5.00+$0.60+$9.65
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?Yes1741.2¢2.7¢$4.70+$2.69$0
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by October 31?No588.9¢90.7¢$4.54+$0.09$0
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No13532.9¢3.3¢$4.40−$40−$18
Will Garrett Wilson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No1430.9¢31¢$4.34+$0.02+$8.14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes367.9¢11.7¢$4.27+$1.37$0
Will Tee Higgins have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No567.5¢82¢$4.10+$0.72−$14
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes1152¢2.9¢$3.39+$1.13$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2514¢13.5¢$3.38−$0.13$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?Yes1432.8¢2.3¢$3.22−$0.80$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No2013¢15.5¢$3.10+$0.50$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election?Yes673.1¢4.6¢$3.04+$0.99$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?No396.6¢95.3¢$2.85−$0.04−$10
Will SC Freiburg finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?No546.6¢52.5¢$2.63+$0.29+$1.29
Will SC Freiburg finish top 8 in UECL league phase?No544.2¢48.5¢$2.42+$0.22+$2.77

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Jahmyr Gibbs have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?80¢25$2053%47
BUY NoWill Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?14¢25$3.5053%47
BUY NoWill Amon-Ra St. Brown have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?25¢60$1553%47
BUY YesWill Amon-Ra St. Brown have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?66.1¢60$4053%47
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election?95.1¢35$3353%47
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?2.9¢35$1.0153%47
BUY NoWill Christian Watson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?20¢24$4.8053%47
BUY YesWill Christian Watson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?73¢24$1853%47
BUY NoWill Christian Watson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?20¢25$5.0053%47
BUY YesWill Christian Watson have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?73¢25$1853%47
BUY NoWill CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?44¢12$5.2853%47
BUY YesWill CeeDee Lamb have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?49¢12$5.8853%47
BUY NoWill Jameson Williams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?56¢25$1453%47
BUY YesWill Jameson Williams have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?37.2¢25$9.3053%47
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election?97.6¢25$2453%47
BUY NoWill Courtland Sutton have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?91.6¢24$2253%47
BUY YesWill Courtland Sutton have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?7¢24$1.6853%47
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?98¢7$6.8653%47
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?98¢13$1353%47
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?97.5¢133$13053%47