PnL all-time−$7.75vol $2,948
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 57.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$342cash n/a
Positions6 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.9%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 11mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$15below peak −$11Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yesopen+$5.48Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$4.22Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 21? · Yesclosed+$3.82Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Noopen+$1.94Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen+$1.68
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 283 | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | $283 | +$5.48 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 24 | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | $24 | +$1.68 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 23 | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | $23 | +$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Yes | 6 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $6.25 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? | Yes | 5 | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | $5.21 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 37 | 19¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.06 | −$6.94 | $0 |
Recent trades
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