PnL all-time+$52.0kvol $8.53M
PnL 30d+$159gains $747 · losses $858
PnL 7d+$49win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate64.9%adj 64.0% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$366cash n/a
Positions4 / 363open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$63.1kbelow peak −$7,387Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$14.0kWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$8,918Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$4,074Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$3,775Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed+$3,132
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 15 at 5PM ET? · Noclosed−$4,713Will Lebron James retire before July? · Yesclosed−$2,891Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$1,244Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed−$1,146Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19? · Noclosed−$1,106
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 102k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $153 | −$461 | $0 | |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 74.2k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $111 | −$335 | −$101 | |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 102k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $51 | −$563 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 102k | 0.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $51 | −$563 | $0 |
Recent trades
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