| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5,000 | 88.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $4,675 | +$249 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 82.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | +$380 | +$30 | |
| Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,827 | 93.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $2,707 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 2,500 | 89.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $2,238 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 2,500 | 85.9¢ | 89¢ | $2,225 | +$78 | +$4.90 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 3,520 | 48¢ | 61.5¢ | $2,165 | +$475 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 83.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | +$148 | −$36 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 94.4¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,448 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | Yes | 1,500 | 94.2¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,443 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 93.5¢ | 96¢ | $1,440 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 85.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,402 | +$114 | −$0.31 | |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? | No | 1,178 | 92.9¢ | 93¢ | $1,096 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31? | No | 1,106 | 81.4¢ | 91¢ | $1,006 | +$106 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 3,500 | 35.3¢ | 28.5¢ | $998 | −$238 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 88.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $925 | +$41 | −$1.82 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,005 | 63.2¢ | 62.5¢ | $628 | −$7.07 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 91.2¢ | 96¢ | $480 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 500 | 93.9¢ | 92.6¢ | $462 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | No | 488 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $446 | +$7.31 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 505 | 80¢ | 81.5¢ | $412 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 505 | 79¢ | 80.5¢ | $407 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 400 | 89.5¢ | 94.2¢ | $376 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 332 | 95¢ | 92.9¢ | $308 | −$7.13 | $0 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 285 | 88.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $272 | +$20 | +$5.84 | |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 252 | 85¢ | 96.3¢ | $243 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 93¢ | 96.3¢ | $241 | +$8.25 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 250 | 83.9¢ | 87.3¢ | $218 | +$8.38 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 255 | 82¢ | 83¢ | $212 | +$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | No | 213 | 91.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $207 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the Texas Senate election? | No | 200 | 91.6¢ | 95.2¢ | $190 | +$7.06 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election? | Yes | 187 | 90¢ | 93.5¢ | $175 | +$6.56 | +$0.44 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 84.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $171 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election? | Yes | 172 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $161 | +$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | No | 150 | 80¢ | 81¢ | $122 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 99.2¢ | $99 | +$7.15 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | No | 100 | 98¢ | 97.8¢ | $98 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 96 | 97¢ | 98.5¢ | $95 | +$1.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $93 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30? | No | 170 | 42¢ | 54.5¢ | $93 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? | Yes | 100 | 0¢ | 91.5¢ | $92 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 93¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | 88.4¢ | 86¢ | $86 | −$2.45 | +$0.15 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $80 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | 62¢ | 52¢ | $52 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by October 31? | No | 50 | 96¢ | 97.8¢ | $49 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 55 | 91¢ | 86.5¢ | $48 | −$2.48 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 88.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $46 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 50 | 92¢ | 89.5¢ | $45 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 50 | 86¢ | 87.5¢ | $44 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 65 | 54¢ | 66.5¢ | $43 | +$8.07 | +$30 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | 83.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $42 | −$0.15 | −$15 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 99.5¢ | $40 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 40 | 92.9¢ | 97¢ | $39 | +$1.64 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 96.2¢ | $38 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 72¢ | 76.5¢ | $38 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | No | 50 | 66.5¢ | 75¢ | $38 | +$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 40 | 84¢ | 90¢ | $36 | +$2.40 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 150 | 60¢ | 21¢ | $32 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | Yes | 60 | 48¢ | 49.5¢ | $30 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 69¢ | 58.5¢ | $29 | −$5.25 | −$30 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 30 | 94.6¢ | 93.9¢ | $28 | −$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? | No | 26 | 96.5¢ | 98.1¢ | $26 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 25 | 92¢ | 98¢ | $24 | +$1.49 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 25 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $23 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 25 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $23 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 25 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $23 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 22 | 94¢ | 98.5¢ | $21 | +$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25 | 88.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $21 | −$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? | No | 25 | 82¢ | 82.2¢ | $21 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 25 | 74¢ | 78.5¢ | $20 | +$1.13 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | 93.9¢ | 97.4¢ | $19 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16? | No | 20 | 89¢ | 97.4¢ | $19 | +$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | Yes | 60 | 32¢ | 31.5¢ | $19 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 25 | 71¢ | 71.5¢ | $18 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 520 | 3.7¢ | 3.4¢ | $17 | −$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 16 | 73¢ | 96.6¢ | $15 | +$3.71 | $0 | |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31? | No | 13 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $11 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 521 | 2.4¢ | 2.1¢ | $11 | −$1.82 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 29¢ | 20.5¢ | $10 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 19.2¢ | $9.57 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | No | 10 | 71¢ | 77.5¢ | $7.75 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | No | 8 | 92¢ | 96.2¢ | $7.33 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 55 | 68.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $6.32 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 25 | 20¢ | 17.5¢ | $4.38 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10 | 36¢ | 31.5¢ | $3.15 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 25 | 23¢ | 10¢ | $2.50 | −$3.25 | +$1.40 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | 605 | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$514 | −$2.69 | |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 502 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$92 | +$97 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 93.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$469 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 400 | 88.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$354 | $0 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 250 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$205 | $0 | |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 91.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | −$0.16 | |
| Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 50 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | −$0.38 | |
| Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | Yes | 42 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.78 | −$0.14 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | No | 40 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | −$0.23 | |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 25 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 25 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |