sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,091

ourdemocracy2

0xbdc…e811
SharpWhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,583vol $10.8M
PnL 30d−$669gains $814 · losses $988
PnL 7d+$231win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.9%adj 80.6% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$30.8kcash n/a
Positions70 / 603open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.8%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,754below peak −$1,688Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 81.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d81
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 70

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No12.7k86.7¢90.5¢$11.5k+$481−$159
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00085¢84.5¢$2,535−$15$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No2,33688¢97.3¢$2,272+$217+$40
Natural Disaster in 2026?No2,19180.7¢93.5¢$2,048+$280$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No1,33081.8¢97.7¢$1,298+$210$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No1,30095.4¢95.7¢$1,243+$3.25$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?No1,50385.3¢76.6¢$1,152−$130$0
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1,00090.7¢91.5¢$915+$7.66$0
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?No1,00090¢89¢$890−$10$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No90776.8¢95.5¢$867+$170+$58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?No53573¢93.2¢$499+$108+$99
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No47091.2¢92.9¢$436+$7.87$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?No38693.7¢97.2¢$375+$13$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No50074¢74.5¢$373+$2.50$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No38177.9¢90.1¢$343+$46$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No30088.2¢88.5¢$266+$1.00$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No30085¢84¢$252−$3.00$0
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?No22979.9¢96.9¢$222+$39$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No25085.8¢84¢$210−$4.45$0
America.gov removed by October 31?No20197.8¢97¢$195−$1.58$0
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?No20092.2¢96.9¢$194+$9.30$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No20386¢92.5¢$188+$13$0
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No21488.4¢87.5¢$187−$1.93$0
Will XRP reach $2.40 in October?No18298¢99¢$180+$1.74$0
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?No17192.5¢94.9¢$162+$4.13$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No20078¢77.5¢$155−$1.00−$7.20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?No15098¢97.3¢$146−$1.13$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?No15092¢93.8¢$141+$2.75$0
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?No15093¢93.5¢$140+$0.75$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No15586¢90¢$140+$6.15$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?No12995.4¢98.2¢$126+$3.54$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No12087¢84¢$101−$3.56$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?No10093¢97.5¢$97+$4.45$0
Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?No10095.8¢95.5¢$96−$0.30$0
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in October?No10097¢93.5¢$94−$3.50$0
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?No10096¢93.1¢$93−$2.90$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No9490.7¢95.1¢$90+$4.17$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No20037¢37.5¢$75+$1.00$0
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No7692.1¢92.1¢$70+$0.03$0
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No8586.5¢82¢$70−$3.85−$65
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No7094¢94.5¢$66+$0.35+$95
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?No6098.6¢99.3¢$60+$0.39$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?No6098.3¢97.9¢$59−$0.24$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No6975.6¢82.5¢$57+$4.76$0
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No6192.7¢92.8¢$57+$0.05$0
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?No5095.1¢93.3¢$47−$0.92$0
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No4190¢86.5¢$35−$1.44$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?No1099¢96.9¢$9.69−$0.21$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes4,0000.1¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?Yes3,8001.1¢0¢$0−$42$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes1,0006¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No80095.4¢0¢$0−$763$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No48080.5¢0¢$0−$386−$489
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes34121¢0¢$0−$72−$2.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No30093¢0¢$0−$279$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?No26858.6¢0¢$0−$157−$2.93
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?Yes17656.3¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Google reach $375 in April?No11898.6¢0¢$0−$116$0
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No10087¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?No10060¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?No9271.7¢0¢$0−$66−$0.93
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?No9059.4¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?No7578.7¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?No5950¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes5065.8¢0¢$0−$33−$2.30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No5085¢0¢$0−$43−$0.26
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Yes2537.7¢0¢$0−$9.43−$52
Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?Yes1081¢0¢$0−$7.91−$0.06
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes220.7¢0¢$0−$0.36−$95.7k

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?95.1¢50$4882%74Sharp
BUY NoAmerica.gov removed by October 31?97.8¢201$19782%74Sharp
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?93¢100$9382%74Sharp
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?94.6¢36$3482%74Sharp
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?93.6¢350$32882%74Sharp
BUY NoWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?96¢100$9682%74Sharp
BUY NoWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in October?97¢100$9782%74Sharp
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?99¢10$9.9082%74Sharp
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?98¢150$14782%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?98.3¢60$5982%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?92¢150$13882%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?98.6¢60$5982%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?95.4¢129$12382%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?93¢150$14082%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?92.7¢61$5782%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?91.9¢55$5182%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?92.5¢171$15882%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP reach $2.20 in October?95.8¢100$9682%74Sharp
BUY NoWill XRP reach $2.40 in October?98¢182$17982%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?90¢1,000$90082%74Sharp