| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 268 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $221 | −$4.02 | −$2.12 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 22 | 40.7¢ | 7.8¢ | $1.72 | −$7.31 | −$50 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 5,363 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$5.14 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3,654 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,900 | −$46 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 2,500 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.73 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 1,250 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | −$2.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Up | 638 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$17 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 574 | 39.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$225 | −$6.60 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 567 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | −$0.44 | |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | −$0.18 | |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | −$1.63 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 494 | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$5.58 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 442 | 40.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | −$7.21 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Down | 414 | 79.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | −$4.41 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Down | 412 | 72.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$5.72 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 357 | 84¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$3.36 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Down | 343 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$4.72 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 338 | 29.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$4.93 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? | Yes | 332 | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | −$2.17 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? | Yes | 300 | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | −$2.43 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Up | 286 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$4.20 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Up | 278 | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$4.48 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 274 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$3.78 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Up | 269 | 92.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$1.24 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$1.60 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Down | 248 | 80.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$2.70 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Down | 244 | 82.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$2.51 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Down | 229 | 43.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.94 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Down | 226 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | −$2.14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Down | 225 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | −$3.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Up | 203 | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.55 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 200 | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$126 | −$3.26 | |
| Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Yes | 200 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76 | −$0.11 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Down | 192 | 52.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.35 | |
| Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Yes | 190 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$1.64 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 180 | 45.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | −$3.13 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 176 | 56.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.02 | |
| XRP Up or Down - July 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | Up | 174 | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83 | −$2.67 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 172 | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.94 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 170 | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$2.39 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 164 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.73 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 163 | 61.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.70 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 159 | 75.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$1.83 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | Down | 158 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$1.84 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Up | 157 | 60.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95 | −$396 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Down | 156 | 75.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$118 | −$1.81 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27? | Yes | 156 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93 | −$0.50 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Up | 153 | 65.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.44 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 151 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.94 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Down | 150 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Down | 145 | 86.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$1.18 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Up | 143 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$2.27 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 143 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.10 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Up | 142 | 70.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$2.07 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 142 | 77.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | −$1.66 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Up | 140 | 53.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$2.27 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 139 | 72.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.95 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Down | 138 | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | −$2.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Up | 137 | 72.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.90 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Down | 136 | 73.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.85 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 135 | 73.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.71 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 135 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Up | 131 | 68.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | −$1.88 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Down | 129 | 77.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.57 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Down | 128 | 60.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78 | −$2.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Up | 128 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | −$2.22 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 125 | 96¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$0.33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Down | 123 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.33 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Up | 123 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Up | 122 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.26 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Down | 122 | 41.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.83 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 120 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Down | 120 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.19 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Down | 120 | 83.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.16 | |
| Solana Up or Down - July 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 119 | 84.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.10 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 116 | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | −$1.95 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Up | 116 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Up | 115 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.91 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Down | 115 | 87¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.91 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Down | 114 | 87.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.86 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Up | 114 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.84 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Up | 114 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.84 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Down | 112 | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.94 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 112 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.77 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Down | 112 | 89.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.74 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Down | 110 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.63 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Down | 110 | 91¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.63 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Up | 110 | 91.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.62 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | 109 | 91.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.59 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Up | 109 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.56 | |
| XRP Up or Down - July 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Up | 109 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.56 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Down | 107 | 93.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.46 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Up | 106 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$0.42 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | Down | 106 | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.89 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Up | 106 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | −$1.82 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Down | 104 | 86.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | −$0.85 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 104 | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.33 | |