sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,425

Kind-Substitution

0xbe0…3c60@marcusabramovi1
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$50.0kvol $1.45M
PnL 30d+$2,319gains $1,606 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$423win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.8%adj 90.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$56.2kcash n/a
Positions19 / 526open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$45.9kbelow peak −$71.1kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No16.5k87.6¢96.4¢$15.9k+$1,438$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No16.2k62.4¢73.5¢$11.9k+$1,805$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No8,03484.9¢97.8¢$7,853+$1,032$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No5,85996¢99.6¢$5,833+$206$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No7,00070.5¢69.5¢$4,865−$70$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No3,33896.6¢100¢$3,336+$110$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00066¢62.5¢$3,125−$175$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No2,61487¢96.7¢$2,526+$252$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No50468¢96.2¢$485+$142$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No37149¢86.5¢$321+$139$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,30316¢0.8¢$32−$656$0
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No15.4k79.3¢0¢$0−$12.2k$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No5,28551.2¢0¢$0−$2,705$0
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No3,70032.6¢0¢$0−$1,206$0
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes2,71673.4¢0¢$0−$1,994$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes1,00071¢0¢$0−$710$0
Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?No67579¢0¢$0−$533$0
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes3802.5¢0¢$0−$9.44$0
Proph3T mindshare all time high by March 31?No5579¢0¢$0−$43$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?71¢276$19692%42
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?66¢385$25492%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?97.8¢254$24892%42
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?96.6¢3,328$3,21692%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?98¢964$94592%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?97.3¢3,007$2,92692%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?95.9¢545$52392%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96¢5,000$4,80092%42
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?93.9¢634$59592%42
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?96.5¢4,500$4,34392%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?94¢450$42392%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?90¢1,451$1,30692%42
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?95¢72$6892%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?80¢796$63792%42
BUY NoBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?55¢4,000$2,20092%42
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?84¢2,500$2,10092%42
BUY NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?66¢1,431$94592%42
BUY NoBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?64¢2$1.4092%42
BUY YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?99.8¢10.0k$9,98092%42
BUY NoDerik Queen: Rebounds O/U 6.598¢5$4.8992%42