PnL all-time+$278vol $5,388
PnL 30d+$88gains $49 · losses $0.10
PnL 7d+$52win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate66.7%adj 61.8% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$384cash n/a
Positions5 / 54open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$345below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale35
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? · Noclosed+$192Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$105Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$49Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yesclosed+$42Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? · Noclosed+$39
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$86Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$27Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$22Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? · Yesclosed−$21Will Ireland win the 2026 Six Nations championship? · Yesclosed−$20
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 320 | 78.2¢ | 86.4¢ | $276 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 158 | 31.7¢ | 43.1¢ | $68 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 114 | 4.4¢ | 14.2¢ | $16 | +$11 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 22 | 46¢ | 61.5¢ | $13 | +$3.37 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 11 | 91.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $11 | +$0.59 | $0 |
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