PnL all-time+$14.4kvol $2.27M
PnL 30d+$2,550gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$344win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 65.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$45.3kcash n/a
Positions4 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$20.4kbelow peak −$15.9kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$37.3kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$26.2kWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Noclosed+$12.8kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$12.6kWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$11.5k
Worst markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noopen−$49.9kWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yesclosed−$32.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$22.7kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yesclosed−$15.0kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Noopen−$10,000
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 24.8k | 80.5¢ | 96¢ | $23.8k | +$3,825 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 24.6k | 81.5¢ | 87.6¢ | $21.5k | +$1,521 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 171k | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49.9k | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 18.7k | 53.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10,000 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s