sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,154

Basquo

0xbe5…32c5
Whale1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$47.2kvol $1.49M
PnL 30d+$4,260gains $3,763 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$4,361win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate42.7%adj 43.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$17.2kcash n/a
Positions138 / 1,001open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 17d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$45.1kbelow peak −$45.1kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 42.7% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d42
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes16.6k22.6¢61.5¢$10.2k+$6,457$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes15.3k14.9¢26.5¢$4,055+$1,776$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes7,9269.6¢11.5¢$912+$152$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes15.6k13.5¢2.8¢$429−$1,671$0
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes35.8k7.2¢1.1¢$394−$2,200$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,01816¢38.5¢$392+$229$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes9,3726.2¢1.4¢$127−$458$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes7,1305.6¢1.3¢$89−$311+$1.88
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes2,88012¢2.9¢$84−$262−$16
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,98412.3¢2.1¢$82−$408$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No9430.4¢86¢$81+$52+$2.64
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes7,9257¢0.8¢$59−$497$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,5026¢3.1¢$46−$44$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0009¢4.4¢$44−$47$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5026.3¢85.7¢$43+$30$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes12423.9¢29.5¢$37+$6.93−$0.69
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes7,5533.6¢0.4¢$26−$245$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No2550¢83.5¢$21+$8.38$0
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes16770¢6.5¢$11−$106$0
OKX IPO in 2026?Yes18041¢5¢$9.00−$65$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes1039.5¢43.5¢$4.35+$0.40$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5017.4¢8.1¢$4.03−$4.67$0
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes2005¢1.9¢$3.70−$6.30$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes550¢62.5¢$3.13+$0.63$0
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes1026.5¢21¢$2.10−$0.55$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes508¢3.4¢$1.71−$2.31−$16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes526¢21.5¢$1.07−$0.23$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes505.4¢2¢$0.97−$1.73−$2.63
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes502.3¢1.6¢$0.78−$0.39−$0.34
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes502.1¢1.6¢$0.78−$0.25$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5000.2¢0.2¢$0.75−$0.25$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes503.4¢1.2¢$0.60−$1.10+$1.23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes515¢9¢$0.45−$0.30$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes631.6¢0.7¢$0.44−$0.57$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5027¢0.7¢$0.33−$13$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes671.5¢0.2¢$0.10−$0.90+$0.22
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes20011¢0.1¢$0.10−$22$0
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes1,0933.9¢0¢$0−$43−$3.25
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?Yes8001.8¢0¢$0−$15−$2.64
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No40026.4¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3340.3¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3340.3¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2860.7¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No20536¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?Yes2040.3¢0¢$0−$0.61$0
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?No20152.5¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?Yes20029¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes20038.3¢0¢$0−$77$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes20021¢0¢$0−$42−$41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes20035¢0¢$0−$70+$0.53
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes20020.1¢0¢$0−$40+$19
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Yes2005.5¢0¢$0−$11−$68
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?Yes2002.6¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes2003.3¢0¢$0−$6.60+$4.00
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?No20051¢0¢$0−$102+$4.00
Will Martine Vassal win the Marseille mayor election?Yes2000.4¢0¢$0−$0.80+$0.12
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Bitcoin2002.2¢0¢$0−$4.32$0
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Yes6516¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes561.8¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No506.7¢0¢$0−$3.34−$0.16
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes5015.9¢0¢$0−$7.95−$8.56
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No5034¢0¢$0−$17$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes5012¢0¢$0−$6.00+$4.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes5042¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes5020¢0¢$0−$10+$8.50
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? No5044¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?Yes5019¢0¢$0−$9.50$0
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes501¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes5016¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.27
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes5017¢0¢$0−$8.50$0
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes509¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No5096.4¢0¢$0−$48$0
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No5026¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes502.3¢0¢$0−$1.15$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes509¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes5031¢0¢$0−$16$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes5030¢0¢$0−$15$0
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes504.9¢0¢$0−$2.45$0
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes502.8¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes5015¢0¢$0−$7.50−$14
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Yes502.3¢0¢$0−$1.15$0
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes4630¢0¢$0−$14+$5.85
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?No3029.8¢0¢$0−$9.06$0
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes3024¢0¢$0−$7.20$0
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 5% or more?Yes305.8¢0¢$0−$1.74$0
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes306¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes2715¢0¢$0−$3.99−$5.20
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No2539¢0¢$0−$9.75$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes259.2¢0¢$0−$2.29+$10
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No2518¢0¢$0−$4.50+$3.50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes2515¢0¢$0−$3.75$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes255.3¢0¢$0−$1.32$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No2559¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No2510.4¢0¢$0−$2.60$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No2543¢0¢$0−$11$0
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No2563¢0¢$0−$16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.2¢500$1.0043%22
SELL YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5¢50$2.5043%22
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?99.9¢5,061$5,05643%22
SELL YesWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?49¢50$2543%22
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?50¢5$2.5043%22
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?26¢5$1.3043%22
SELL NoWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?33¢25$8.2543%22
BUY NoWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?68¢25$1743%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?22¢2,761$60743%22
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?90¢25$2343%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?19¢295$5643%22
SELL YesWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?97.9¢50$4943%22
SELL YesWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?99.3¢50$5043%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?27¢2,000$54043%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?20¢5,168$1,03443%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?13¢1,224$15943%22
SELL NoWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?99¢50$5043%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?27¢300$8143%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?9¢15$1.3143%22
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?9¢16$1.4643%22