Traders/Unranked

PluckyFox0

0xbe5…b007

Politics

PnL all-time+$43vol $89.1k

PnL 30d−$1.00gains $0 · losses $0

PnL 7d−$0.50win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$1,722cash n/a

Positions19 / 19open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age9molast trade 8mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$25below peak −$630Oct 12

12/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23

Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	1,248	43.9¢	100¢	$1,248	+$700	−$41	ended
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	390	25.6¢	100¢	$390	+$290	−$46	ended
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	39	52¢	100¢	$39	+$19	−$0.86	ended
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	35	60.2¢	100¢	$35	+$14	$0	3mo
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	5	21¢	100¢	$4.76	+$3.76	$0	ended
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	50	40¢	5.5¢	$2.75	−$17	$0	3mo
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	2	58¢	100¢	$1.72	+$0.72	$0	ended
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?	Yes	9,827	2.5¢	0¢	$0	−$249	+$199	ended
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	2,920	10.6¢	0¢	$0	−$310	$0	ended
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	Yes	2,402	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$267	$0	ended
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	Yes	1,455	6¢	0¢	$0	−$87	+$4.74	ended
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	550	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$112	$0	ended
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?	Yes	184	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	104	30.8¢	0¢	$0	−$32	$0	ended
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?	Yes	77	26¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	72	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	65	31¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	Yes	25	4¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	6	16¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	$0	ended

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	28¢	42	$12	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	5.3¢	209	$11	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	48¢	2	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	21¢	5	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?	0.5¢	184	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	58¢	2	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	48¢	2	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	16¢	6	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	1.4¢	72	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	4¢	25	$1.00	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	24¢	333	$80	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	5.5¢	364	$20	0%	12
8mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	18.4¢	435	$80	0%	12
9mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	13¢	1,376	$179	0%	12
9mo ago	SELL Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	43¢	416	$179	0%	12
9mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	13¢	286	$37	0%	12
9mo ago	SELL Yes	Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	51¢	73	$37	0%	12
9mo ago	BUY Yes	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	43.9¢	1,437	$631	0%	12
9mo ago	BUY Yes	Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	31¢	65	$20	0%	12
9mo ago	BUY Yes	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	40¢	50	$20	0%	12