sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,295

title1

0xbe7…a70e@Roundfaced8
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+SportPoliticsCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$22.2kvol $2.22M
PnL 30d+$19.1kgains $13.4k · losses $6,616
PnL 7d+$1,173win rate 7d 64.0%
Win rate64.5%adj 64.0% · 30d 64.5%
Open value$52.3kcash n/a
Positions776 / 6,480open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$33.4kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 64.5% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No10.3k50¢84.9¢$8,745+$3,595+$0.07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.3k50¢15.1¢$1,555−$3,595$0
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No1,54195¢94.5¢$1,457−$7.71$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes1,24773.8¢77.5¢$967+$47$0
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes1,00093¢93.5¢$935+$5.00$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,18070.2¢70.5¢$832+$4.10$0
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?No86261¢89.5¢$771+$245−$12
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00181¢77¢$771−$40$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No3,09519.8¢23¢$712+$100$0
Will Hunter Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No65678.7¢93.5¢$613+$97−$6.20
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by October 30, 2026?No62495.8¢97.6¢$608+$11−$8.75
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No57078.9¢93.1¢$531+$81−$0.85
Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No50555.5¢93.1¢$470+$190+$0.23
Will Incheon United be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No45682¢96.1¢$439+$64$0
GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes45768.6¢92.5¢$423+$109−$35
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No44962.4¢90.5¢$406+$126+$4.51
Will FC Kairat be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?No40791.4¢99.4¢$405+$33−$19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No46086.9¢87.5¢$403+$2.80$0
Will FC Kaisar be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes56224.3¢71.5¢$402+$265+$120
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No50073¢77.5¢$388+$23$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No39193.1¢94¢$368+$3.58$0
Will GV San José be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?Yes46827.4¢78.5¢$367+$239+$4.32
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?No50070¢72.5¢$363+$13$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes62047.1¢57.9¢$359+$67$0
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No36793.2¢94.3¢$346+$4.04−$138
Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?Yes35129.6¢92.5¢$324+$221+$3.88
Will FC Lausanne-Sport be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?Yes41615.5¢76.5¢$318+$254+$78
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No34163.2¢88.8¢$302+$87+$16
Will Aldosivi be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?Yes32242.5¢93.5¢$301+$164$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes36780.5¢79.8¢$293−$2.67−$5.92
Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes48165.2¢57¢$274−$40$0
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?No30095.1¢90.1¢$270−$15+$0.91
Will Jalen Coker have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes30081¢89¢$267+$24$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?No27093.3¢97¢$262+$9.92$0
Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No50074¢52¢$260−$110$0
Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes32074.7¢81¢$259+$20$0
Will Bijan Robinson have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No40056.6¢62.5¢$250+$24$0
Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No25883.3¢95¢$245+$30+$4.83
Will Brock Bowers have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes40063¢61¢$244−$8.00$0
Will Zemun be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?Yes29356.7¢82.1¢$240+$74−$1.59
Will Rachel Rohrabacher qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Yes26850.1¢81¢$217+$83$0
Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes30082¢72¢$216−$30+$6.47
Will Meghan Dizon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No24069.7¢83.9¢$201+$34$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No20099.6¢99.8¢$200+$0.40$0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20096¢99.4¢$199+$6.80$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No20026¢98.9¢$198+$146$0
Will Hong Kit Wong qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No24584.1¢80.5¢$197−$8.89+$4.84
Will Mark Andrews have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No30070¢65.5¢$197−$14$0
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?No20671.9¢91.9¢$190+$41+$20
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No20879.5¢90.5¢$188+$23$0
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by October 31, 2026?No19779.1¢94.4¢$186+$30$0
Will Kispest-Honvéd be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?Yes26225.3¢69.5¢$182+$116+$41
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No20079.3¢90.7¢$181+$23+$2.48
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors be relegated from the 2026 K-League?No18493.8¢96¢$177+$3.88+$2.03
VALORANT Champions 2026: Unbeaten Champion?No24453.4¢72¢$176+$45−$1.92
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No31029.6¢56¢$174+$82$0
Will Calvin Ridley have 624.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No20060¢83.5¢$167+$47$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?Yes16984.8¢98.2¢$166+$23+$5.48
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?No17090¢97.4¢$165+$12$0
Will the Calgary Flames record 110+ points?No16591¢98.7¢$163+$13−$0.93
Will Jake Guentzel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes20627.1¢78¢$161+$105+$53
Will FC Zhetysu be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?Yes32131.5¢50¢$161+$60+$29
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No16497.2¢97.9¢$160+$1.14−$238
Will Bijan Robinson have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes18080¢85¢$153+$9.00+$3.98
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?No16576.1¢92¢$152+$26$0
Will FC Lugano be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?No15596¢97.1¢$150+$1.63−$67
Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?No16283.4¢92.6¢$150+$15−$57
Will Abu Qir SC be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League?Yes19923.1¢74.9¢$149+$103$0
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?Yes24221.9¢61.5¢$149+$96+$53
Will Mark Scheifele record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes48215.7¢30.5¢$147+$71+$37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes20073¢73.5¢$147+$1.00$0
Will Omarion Hampton have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes16357.2¢90¢$147+$53−$1.69
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes22165.8¢63.5¢$141−$5.02$0
Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No14096.2¢98.6¢$138+$3.22−$46
Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes36321.6¢38¢$138+$60+$4.40
Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?No14286.7¢96.4¢$137+$14$0
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?No20076¢68.5¢$137−$15$0
Will Garrett Wilson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes20165¢68¢$137+$6.10−$8.62
Will Teplice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?No14093¢96.8¢$135+$5.18−$30
Will Voluntari be relegated from the 2026-27 Romania SuperLiga?Yes21821¢61.8¢$135+$89$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes15095.7¢88.5¢$133−$11−$38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes50028¢26.5¢$132−$7.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes20762¢62.5¢$129+$1.04$0
Will Augustus Ge qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No14280.9¢90.5¢$128+$14−$0.34
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?No12691.2¢95.9¢$121+$5.92−$4.10
Will one team kill two Tormentors in a single game at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?Yes12682¢95.3¢$120+$17+$33
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?No19574.7¢61.5¢$120−$26+$13
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Yes18038.3¢66.5¢$120+$51−$4.03
Will KA Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?Yes24831¢47.5¢$118+$41+$48
Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No14061.1¢84¢$118+$32+$20
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $152.5B by October 31?No12083¢97.8¢$117+$18$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes36032¢32.5¢$117+$1.80$0
Will Natus Vincere qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Yes13076.6¢90¢$117+$17+$1.24
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by October 31?No12083¢96.5¢$116+$16$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No12676.8¢91.5¢$116+$19$0
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No12287¢94.5¢$115+$9.15−$2.76
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?Yes21438¢53.5¢$114+$33$0
Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes32352.6¢35¢$113−$57−$4.55
Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?Yes21463.3¢52.5¢$112−$23+$440
Will 5star eSports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?No22030.7¢51¢$112+$45$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?16.8¢100$1765%73Sharp
SELL YesHouthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026?6.7¢30$1.9965%73Sharp
SELL NoHouthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?96.2¢84$8065%73Sharp
BUY YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?14¢400$5665%73Sharp
BUY NoNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?86.9¢460$40065%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?0.7¢10$0.0765%73Sharp
BUY NoWill "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?10.6¢52$5.5065%73Sharp
SELL NoWill "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?53.5¢232$12465%73Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢7$4.3465%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither?98.9¢70$6965%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a warden?11¢50$5.5065%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?99.6¢200$19965%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?10¢10$1.0065%73Sharp
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?57.3¢52$3065%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Cata Coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?9.6¢96$9.2465%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Claudia Pina finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?55¢40$2265%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Klara Buhl finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?44¢20$8.8065%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?10¢41$4.1065%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?68¢20$1465%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?36¢205$7465%73Sharp