sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,268

aliiz

0xbea…e19d@beshmigam
SharpWR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,782vol $351k
PnL 30d+$1,255gains $2,287 · losses $2,937
PnL 7d+$352win rate 7d 51.7%
Win rate64.8%adj 64.3% · 30d 64.8%
Open value$11.8kcash n/a
Positions567 / 2,923open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.7%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,749below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 64.8% · shrunk toward 50%61
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No48567¢90.5¢$439+$114+$43
Will Amul Thapar be the next Supreme Court nominee?No42775¢87¢$372+$51+$13
Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?Yes55360.5¢59.5¢$329−$5.30+$13
Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes51657.8¢60.5¢$312+$14+$2.69
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes86346.8¢32.5¢$280−$123$0
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes47441.6¢40.5¢$192−$5.16−$1.03
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?No25255.8¢74.5¢$188+$47+$55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes33150.3¢55¢$182+$16+$12
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes31946.7¢53.5¢$171+$22$0
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes24352.1¢70.2¢$171+$44$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Yes24267.4¢69.5¢$168+$5.11+$1.47
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes22773.2¢72.5¢$165−$1.65+$8.61
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes26949.7¢53¢$143+$8.76+$6.60
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?No21763.2¢62.5¢$136−$1.56+$4.48
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028?No29356.4¢44.5¢$130−$35+$0.74
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?No18367.2¢68.5¢$126+$2.38+$0.83
US recession by end of 2027?No17761.9¢66.5¢$118+$8.10+$9.37
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?No78534.3¢13.5¢$106−$163+$60
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes16342.8¢64¢$104+$35+$4.58
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No37036.7¢27.5¢$102−$34+$2.31
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No12962.5¢76.8¢$99+$18+$0.01
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?No19334.8¢49.5¢$95+$28+$51
Will James Ho be the next Supreme Court nominee?No11466.9¢81.5¢$93+$17+$15
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?No21847.8¢41¢$89−$15$0
Will SZA headline Coachella 2027?Yes16245.2¢52.5¢$85+$12+$7.76
Will Drake headline Coachella 2027?Yes16328.4¢49.5¢$81+$34+$45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?No12367¢64.1¢$79−$3.59$0
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?Yes26323.5¢29.5¢$77+$16+$11
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?No14540.6¢51.5¢$75+$16+$41
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?Yes11854.7¢62¢$73+$8.62+$2.96
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes9979.5¢72.5¢$72−$6.98$0
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes3258.2¢21.5¢$70+$43+$47
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes39314.3¢17.5¢$69+$12+$63
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?No change7829¢87.5¢$68+$46$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes10648.4¢62.5¢$67+$15+$70
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No24943.3¢25.5¢$64−$44+$0.13
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?No12143.5¢52.5¢$63+$11+$3.00
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?No7577¢82¢$62+$3.72$0
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes7028¢8.5¢$60+$3.70+$4.48
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes11946.6¢50¢$60+$4.01$0
Will Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?Yes7560.5¢77.5¢$58+$13+$1.25
Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Yes4129.8¢14¢$58+$17+$6.44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?No9568.7¢60.5¢$57−$7.76$0
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes30327.3¢18.5¢$56−$27+$19
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?No8028¢67.5¢$54+$32+$7.28
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?No6073.5¢86.5¢$52+$7.78+$14
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?No15646.3¢33¢$51−$21+$28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 20%-25%?No7470.5¢68.5¢$51−$1.46$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?No8267.2¢60.5¢$50−$5.53$0
Base iPhone 18 released by March 31, 2027?Yes6865.1¢70.5¢$48+$3.70$0
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes9962.1¢48.5¢$48−$13$0
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes14169.9¢34¢$48−$51$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No5169.9¢93.6¢$48+$12+$81
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?No6956.8¢68.5¢$47+$8.10+$16
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes9044.2¢52.5¢$47+$7.49+$4.21
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Yes8263.4¢57¢$47−$5.23−$2.24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?No6168¢76.5¢$47+$5.18$0
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?No8169.6¢56.5¢$46−$11+$14
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes20010.7¢22.5¢$45+$24+$27
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No6068.4¢73.5¢$44+$3.10+$6.17
Will "Stay" by The Kid LAROI (with Justin Bieber) be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No6469.8¢69.3¢$44−$0.31+$4.87
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 50%-55%?No6761.5¢66¢$44+$3.00+$2.58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?No6267.8¢69.9¢$43+$1.27$0
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Yes4222.7¢100¢$42+$32+$1.78
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?No6568.6¢64.5¢$42−$2.62+$37
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?No7258¢57.5¢$41−$0.36$0
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?No6567.7¢63.5¢$41−$2.74+$2.52
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?No5573.8¢74.5¢$41+$0.37+$1.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 15%-20%?No5871.3¢71¢$41−$0.19$0
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes6265.1¢65.5¢$41+$0.27$0
Will Chris Stapleton win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes13727¢29¢$40+$2.74$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?No5471.2¢71.5¢$39+$0.18$0
Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?Texas11758.9¢32.5¢$38−$31$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?No5762.2¢66.5¢$38+$2.44$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?No5265.6¢72.5¢$38+$3.58+$1.05
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes6661.7¢56¢$37−$3.75+$2.26
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?No7243.2¢50¢$36+$4.90+$4.06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 45%-50%?No4970.7¢73¢$36+$1.12$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?No4872.1¢73¢$35+$0.42$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?No5075.5¢69¢$34−$3.26$0
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes5959¢56.5¢$33−$1.47$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 50%-55%?No4769.7¢70¢$33+$0.13$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%?No4872.2¢68.5¢$33−$1.77$0
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes10126.7¢32.5¢$33+$5.91+$8.89
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?No4572¢71.5¢$32−$0.23$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 15%-20%?No4672.6¢69.4¢$32−$1.49$0
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No4576.3¢69.5¢$31−$3.04$0
Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes6047.3¢51.5¢$31+$2.53$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election by 20%-25%?No4274.1¢73.5¢$31−$0.25$0
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?No5254.6¢59¢$31+$2.30+$6.55
Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No4367¢70.5¢$30+$1.50$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?No4174¢72.5¢$30−$0.62$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No3775.5¢78.8¢$29+$1.19+$2.13
Will Captain America (Sam Wilson) die in Avengers: Doomsday?No6252.8¢47.5¢$29−$3.28+$5.84
Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?No3683.9¢79.5¢$29−$1.60$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?No4668.1¢62.5¢$29−$2.57$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 55%-60%?No4066.8¢71¢$28+$1.68$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 35%-40%?No3773.8¢75.6¢$28+$0.68+$0.74
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No3678¢77.5¢$28−$0.18$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election by 35%-40%?No4272.7¢65.5¢$28−$3.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?44¢120$5365%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?3.4¢5$0.1765%74Sharp
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?80¢12$9.8165%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?12¢70$8.4065%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 45%-50%?78.4¢21$1665%74Sharp
SELL NoWill OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?0.2¢103$0.1965%74Sharp
SELL YesWill OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 5?0.1¢51$0.0765%74Sharp
BUY YesArizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?57¢116$6665%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Inde Navarrette win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?2.6¢78$2.0065%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump be the #2 searched person on Google this year?2¢5$0.1065%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?57.7¢33$1965%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?4.4¢46$2.0365%74Sharp
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?13¢20$2.6065%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Tame Impala headline Coachella 2027?53¢20$1165%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 50%-55%?52¢40$2165%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%?67.9¢31$2165%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?59¢7$3.9865%74Sharp
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%?80¢27$2165%74Sharp
SELL NoWill "Whalefall" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?89¢7$6.3565%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?47¢20$9.4065%74Sharp