PnL all-time−$330vol $31.0k
PnL 30d−$232gains $466 · losses $752
PnL 7d−$266win rate 7d 69.2%
Win rate57.1%adj 54.5% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$116cash n/a
Positions5 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.7%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$269below peak −$487Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Noclosed+$114Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$64Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Noclosed+$36Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$34
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$572Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yesclosed−$56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$55Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed−$50Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Noclosed−$32
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | No | 70 | 98.5¢ | 93.9¢ | $66 | −$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | No | 50 | 95¢ | 99.9¢ | $50 | +$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.60 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.07 | −$0.05 |
Recent trades
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