sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,099

browne

0xbf9…9942
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$31.7kvol $2.59M
PnL 30d+$15.2kgains $18.5k · losses $12.0k
PnL 7d+$6,602win rate 7d 76.9%
Win rate76.2%adj 74.5% · 30d 80.9%
Open value$73.4kcash n/a
Positions50 / 342open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.3%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$56.2kbelow peak −$7,668Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes18.1k54.2¢84.5¢$15.3k+$5,472+$1,823
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No8,30690.8¢96.7¢$8,028+$487$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No8,94288.5¢88.5¢$7,914+$0.61+$116
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No8,00093¢94.5¢$7,560+$120+$5.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes6,49694¢94.5¢$6,139+$32$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes3,84498.6¢98.5¢$3,786−$1.97$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No4,30686.9¢84.5¢$3,638−$102$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes4,15083.1¢83¢$3,445−$4.50−$149
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No4,05780¢80.5¢$3,266+$21+$48
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No2,62988.2¢93¢$2,445+$126+$67
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No2,00083¢91.5¢$1,830+$170$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No1,95092.9¢92¢$1,794−$17$0
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No1,13089.1¢92.5¢$1,046+$38$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes1,06090¢94.4¢$1,001+$47$0
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes1,61443.1¢53.5¢$864+$169$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No1,11072.3¢68¢$755−$48$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No1,72944.4¢40¢$692−$77$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes89079¢77.5¢$690−$13$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No77667.8¢73.5¢$570+$44$0
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?No53894.8¢98.1¢$528+$17$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No46592¢95.9¢$446+$18+$9.86
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No35185¢86.5¢$303+$5.26$0
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No20065¢97.6¢$195+$65$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No19165.2¢85.5¢$163+$39+$353
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes19081.1¢84¢$160+$5.60$0
Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?No24469.5¢65¢$159−$11$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No16482¢82¢$134$0$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No14768¢86.5¢$127+$27$0
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No11892.2¢92.8¢$110+$0.68$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No52459¢18.5¢$97−$212$0
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No10289.2¢88.5¢$90−$0.72$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No10075¢88.5¢$89+$14$0
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?No7087.1¢74¢$52−$9.20$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes1472¢62.5¢$8.72−$1.33$0
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No593¢97.9¢$4.89+$0.24$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No594.5¢96.3¢$4.81+$0.09$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No580¢95.5¢$4.78+$0.78$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No587¢84.5¢$4.23−$0.12+$719
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No10.5k24.8¢0¢$0−$2,597−$10.8k
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes3,48161¢0¢$0−$2,124$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Yes2,6505.2¢0¢$0−$139−$325
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes2,35447¢0¢$0−$1,107$0
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?Yes2,34545.1¢0¢$0−$1,057$0
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes1,61835¢0¢$0−$567$0
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No84371.7¢0¢$0−$604−$6.85
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes80087¢0¢$0−$696$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes5579¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes17541.9¢0¢$0−$73$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes590¢0¢$0$0$0
OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?No2380¢0¢$0−$19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢890$70376%74Sharp
SELL NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)82¢860$70576%74Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?98.8¢3,243$3,20476%74Sharp
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?99.6¢3,190$3,17876%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?76¢303$23176%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?51¢398$20376%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?96¢5,379$5,16476%74Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?94¢6,356$5,97576%74Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?2.4¢500$1276%74Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?2.8¢500$1476%74Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?59.1¢1,447$85576%74Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?97.3¢600$58476%74Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢950$85576%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?94¢354$33376%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?68¢500$34076%74Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?90¢437$39376%74Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?94¢140$13276%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?92¢210$19376%74Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?70¢10$7.0076%74Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢1,231$1,07176%74Sharp