sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,236

Murky-Arrest

0xc00…6cd3
Whale1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,490vol $1.31M
PnL 30d+$123gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,251win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 53.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$40.6kcash n/a
Positions17 / 25open / all-time
Max drawdown−94.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.5kbelow peak −$5,136Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity5

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes585k2¢2.6¢$14.9k+$3,190+$74
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.0k35.7¢40.3¢$8,050+$910$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes38.7k9.7¢10.2¢$3,931+$160$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No3,82281.1¢82.2¢$3,140+$40$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes17.0k17.1¢15.5¢$2,626−$274$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,67474.8¢81¢$2,165+$165$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.4k15.4¢15.1¢$1,860−$40$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,53858.5¢70.5¢$1,085+$185$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes1,56557.5¢57.5¢$900+$0.14$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes1,44555.4¢61.5¢$889+$89$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,33045.1¢48.4¢$645+$45$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes80.0k1.3¢0.5¢$440−$600$0
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes58.8k1.7¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes58.7k5¢0¢$0−$2,934−$84
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes20.4k11.4¢0¢$0−$2,317−$285
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes18.4k4.1¢0¢$0−$750−$1,296
Will there be no coalition by October 31?Yes10.0k31¢0¢$0−$3,111−$2,859

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.6¢2,500$6463%24
SELL YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.8¢10.0k$27663%24
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?35.7¢1,531$54663%24
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.8¢5,699$67163%24
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?35.7¢10.0k$3,57063%24
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?74.8¢2,674$2,00063%24
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15.2¢5,262$80063%24
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9.4¢33.0k$3,10063%24
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?58.5¢1,538$90063%24
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?55.4¢1,445$80063%24
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?57.5¢1,565$90063%24
BUY YesWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?45.1¢1,330$60063%24
BUY NoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?77.8¢129$10063%24
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?17.1¢17.0k$2,90063%24
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15.5¢7,095$1,10063%24
BUY NoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?81.2¢3,694$3,00063%24
BUY YesWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5¢58.7k$2,93463%24
BUY YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.1¢93.3k$2,00063%24
BUY YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.1¢7,489$16163%24
BUY YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2¢5,806$11963%24