PnL all-time−$697vol $565k
PnL 30d+$156gains $336 · losses $22
PnL 7d+$1.84win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.3%adj 65.4% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$6,704cash n/a
Positions20 / 181open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 16d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$154below peak −$2,808Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.3% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d46
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? · Yesclosed+$1,203Up Only podcast released by October 31? · Noclosed+$884Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$518Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed+$278Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$250
Worst markets
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13? · Upclosed−$1,207Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? · Yesclosed−$600Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed−$579Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$534Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? · Yesclosed−$364
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,220 | 85.6¢ | 96.8¢ | $2,148 | +$248 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,348 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,220 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,132 | 58.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,035 | +$378 | +$140 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 787 | 89¢ | 96.4¢ | $758 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 440 | 91¢ | 94¢ | $413 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026? | No | 418 | 82.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $370 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 400 | 87.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | +$12 | +$13 | |
| Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $145 | −$3.95 | $0 | |
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | No | 119 | 89.2¢ | 89¢ | $106 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026? | No | 111 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $102 | +$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | No | 48 | 88.3¢ | 94.7¢ | $45 | +$3.08 | $0 |
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