| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4,568 | 45.5¢ | 35.5¢ | $1,622 | −$459 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 6,654 | 24.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $632 | −$980 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10.5k | 21.7¢ | 2.9¢ | $299 | −$1,977 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 1,541 | 12.9¢ | 5.5¢ | $85 | −$114 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 503 | 53.4¢ | 12¢ | $60 | −$208 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 248 | 46¢ | 16.5¢ | $41 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 109k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,113 | −$62 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 58.2k | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,164 | +$3,689 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50.0k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,504 | −$44 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 24.7k | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,523 | +$952 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Yes | 21.7k | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,214 | +$2,961 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Yes | 14.1k | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$507 | −$43 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Yes | 10.5k | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$461 | −$2.89 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 10.5k | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,768 | −$295 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,269 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$124 | +$878 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 8,217 | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,522 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 8,180 | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$850 | +$19 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | Yes | 8,007 | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$986 | +$765 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 6,738 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$561 | −$58 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? | Down | 6,377 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$248 | +$298 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5,978 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$834 | +$128 | |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 5,511 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$295 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Yes | 5,500 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | −$72 | |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 5,437 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$866 | +$46 | |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | No | 5,375 | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,163 | +$207 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 5,212 | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$387 | +$0.87 | |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 5,011 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$353 | +$41 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 4,863 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$262 | +$79 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Yes | 4,267 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$401 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 3,985 | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,264 | −$329 | |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 3,685 | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$268 | −$7.45 | |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,026 | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$367 | −$1.93 | |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 2,991 | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$383 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | Yes | 2,746 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$236 | $0 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1? | Down | 2,634 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$81 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 2,614 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | −$610 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$630 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? | Yes | 2,168 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$232 | $0 | |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 2,098 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$136 | +$24 | |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? | Yes | 1,944 | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$395 | $0 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | Yes | 1,513 | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$368 | $0 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9? | Up | 1,433 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$114 | −$4.21 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 1,397 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$2.23 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10? | Down | 1,285 | 32.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$421 | +$456 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,250 | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$184 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Yes | 1,243 | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | −$4.68 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | Yes | 1,155 | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$72 | −$37 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3? | Down | 1,092 | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$183 | −$5.99 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Yes | 1,070 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 1,029 | 64.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$667 | $0 | |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 1,001 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$0.41 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$340 | −$8.98 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 924 | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | +$3,863 | |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1? | Yes | 911 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? | Yes | 893 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$107 | −$4.71 | |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 892 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 886 | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$209 | $0 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 876 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 751 | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | Yes | 703 | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | −$2.15 | |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | Yes | 672 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 618 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | +$297 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 551 | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$153 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 510 | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$179 | −$3.49 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 441 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$34 | |
| Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 423 | 10.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | −$1.16 | |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? | Yes | 420 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31? | Yes | 390 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.96 | −$0.15 | |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 370 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.37 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 357 | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | +$427 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5? | Up | 357 | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$161 | −$18 | |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 340 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 336 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | Yes | 327 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | +$34 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 262 | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | +$277 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Yes | 239 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | +$548 | |
| Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 217 | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | Yes | 211 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.74 | −$0.11 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 200 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | +$0.15 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 189 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64 | −$1.70 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | No | 156 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 122 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.98 | +$803 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 115 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.03 | +$21 | |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? | Yes | 105 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.24 | $0 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 87 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Yes | 83 | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | +$3,367 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 72 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.65 | +$1,130 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | 62 | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.41 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 57 | 24.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$499 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.45 | +$418 | |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.88 | +$61 | |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30? | Yes | 20 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.75 | $0 | |