sharpside
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Traders/Rank #11,215

gmacdonald

0xc04…c0e6
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,736vol $99.7k
PnL 30d+$90gains $25 · losses $53
PnL 7d+$85win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.6%adj 76.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$8,955cash n/a
Positions35 / 121open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,464below peak −$3,574Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.6% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d71
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No5,89479.7¢79.5¢$4,685−$9.71$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?No2,16588.6¢95.9¢$2,076+$158$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No1,00094¢99.2¢$992+$52$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?No1,00087¢77.5¢$775−$95$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No50054¢85.5¢$427+$157$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No4,40061¢0¢$0−$2,682$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No3,00033¢0¢$0−$990$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No2,98876.5¢0¢$0−$2,286$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes2,1001.6¢0¢$0−$34−$1.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No2,09189.3¢0¢$0−$1,866$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Up2,0064.8¢0¢$0−$97$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No60054¢0¢$0−$324$0
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?No55541.7¢0¢$0−$231$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes5517.4¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes54325.2¢0¢$0−$137+$8.46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes53852¢0¢$0−$280−$6.71
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes40017.6¢0¢$0−$71$0
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes27037.7¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?Yes22010.4¢0¢$0−$23$0
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes20077¢0¢$0−$154−$0.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?Yes2009¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on February 4?Yes2004¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland18554¢0¢$0−$100−$2.30
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No18332¢0¢$0−$58$0
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?Up11129¢0¢$0−$32−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 5?Yes10010¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes10095.5¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 4?Yes10011¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 3?Yes10030¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 4?Yes10017¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes9728.8¢0¢$0−$28$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 23?Up9727.8¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?Yes8084¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?Yes5074¢0¢$0−$37$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?Yes2032.7¢0¢$0−$6.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?87¢128$11283%37
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?81¢1,000$81083%37
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?81¢1,100$89183%37
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?79¢3,509$2,77283%37
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?93.2¢106$9983%37
BUY NoWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?78¢280$21883%37
SELL NoWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?40¢555$22283%37
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?82.9¢965$80083%37
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?94¢1,000$94083%37
BUY NoWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?48¢555$26683%37
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?52¢538$28083%37
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?68¢80$5483%37
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?54¢500$27083%37
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1.6¢2,100$3483%37
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77.6¢514$39983%37
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?57.9¢470$27283%37
BUY EnglandEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance54¢185$10083%37
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?21.3¢470$10083%37
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?85¢1,000$85083%37
SELL YesWill England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?46¢317$14683%37