PnL all-time+$111vol $300k
PnL 30d+$473gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$887win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.3%adj 63.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$18.9kcash n/a
Positions4 / 84open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$593below peak −$234Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 66.3% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d54
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Noclosed+$807Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$600Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$374Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale? · Noclosed+$281Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? · Noclosed+$250
Worst markets
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale? · Yesclosed−$1,050Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$686Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? · Yesclosed−$510Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? · Noclosed−$464Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? · Noclosed−$402
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 12.0k | 83¢ | 88¢ | $10.6k | +$600 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 7,000 | 76¢ | 77¢ | $5,390 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,579 | 90¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,538 | +$118 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 2,273 | 66¢ | 60.5¢ | $1,375 | −$125 | $0 |
Recent trades
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