sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,254

Complete-Assumption

0xc07…1a70
PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,696vol $701k
PnL 30d−$1,136gains $17 · losses $1,539
PnL 7d−$603win rate 7d 14.3%
Win rate13.3%adj 22.5% · 30d 13.3%
Open value$15.9kcash n/a
Positions3 / 74open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 13.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 2

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No15.9k50¢85.9¢$13.7k+$5,704$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15.9k50¢14.2¢$2,251−$5,704$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNext White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?17¢2,050$34813%33
SELL YesWill there be no Hormuz agreement?90.8¢14.2k$12.9k13%33Whale
SELL YesWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?3.6¢1,965$7013%33
SELL YesWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?4.7¢6,238$29513%33
BUY YesWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?5.2¢15.0k$78513%33
SELL NoWill there be no Hormuz agreement?4.1¢11.0k$45313%33
BUY NoWill there be no Hormuz agreement?4.8¢11.0k$52713%33
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?18¢2,066$37213%33
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?18¢6,409$1,15413%33
SELL UnderLions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.549.2¢15.0k$7,37813%33
SELL NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?92¢21.0k$19.3k13%33Whale
SELL NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?95.2¢42$4013%33
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.3¢15.0k$14.4k13%33Whale
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.7¢15.0k$14.5k13%33Whale
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20¢4,977$99513%33
SELL NoWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?90.6¢200$18113%33
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?4¢20$0.8013%33
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?85¢100$8513%33
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?85.8¢50$4313%33
SELL YesWill Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?5.3¢130$6.9213%33