sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

CineMa

0xc0a…2ab9
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,023vol $546k
PnL 30d−$814gains $3,173 · losses $3,147
PnL 7d−$165win rate 7d 34.8%
Win rate85.2%adj 83.8% · 30d 66.8%
Open value$689cash n/a
Positions499 / 2,304open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8,892below peak −$10.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 0.5Over25989¢65.5¢$170−$61$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No16693.1¢92.9¢$154−$0.48−$0.72
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?No8285¢95.5¢$79+$8.66+$1.29
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes8078¢77.5¢$62−$0.40$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes37913.2¢13.2¢$50−$0.19$0
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No4793.9¢93.9¢$45−$0.02$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No3195¢97.4¢$30+$0.74$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No2872¢68.5¢$19−$0.97+$0.93
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes12019¢15.5¢$19−$4.20$0
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Yes4184¢42.4¢$17−$17$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes14370¢11.5¢$16−$84$0
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No2085¢78¢$16−$1.40$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes8058¢8.5¢$6.80−$40$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No3058.8¢16.5¢$4.95−$13$0
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1227.2¢1.2¢$1.41−$7.39$0
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1104.6¢0.1¢$0.06−$5.00$0
CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5Over3852¢0.1¢$0.02−$20$0
Saints vs. LionsSaints5,0000.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No2,82953.4¢0¢$0−$1,510$0
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?No2,00895¢0¢$0−$1,908−$4.77
Florida A&M vs. Miami (FL)Florida A&M2,0000.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.50
CD Tolima vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: O/U 0.5Over2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?No1,66585.3¢0¢$0−$1,420$0
Will a club from North America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes1,5811.3¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes1,47153.2¢0¢$0−$782$0
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?No1,32994.5¢0¢$0−$1,256−$3.29
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?No1,26544.1¢0¢$0−$558$0
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?Yes90014.1¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)Yes8773.8¢0¢$0−$33$0
OpenAI browser by October 31?No83126¢0¢$0−$216$0
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Yes8210.4¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Caldas da Rainha: Caroline Werner vs Malaika RapoluCaroline Werner8005¢0¢$0−$40−$1.90
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes76913¢0¢$0−$100−$2.61
W15 Sao Luis: Bianca Bernardes vs Paola LopezBianca Bernardes7055.7¢0¢$0−$40−$1.89
Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?No6807.8¢0¢$0−$53$0
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Yes67314¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-03?Yes66715¢0¢$0−$100−$4.25
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No64380.4¢0¢$0−$517+$4.80
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?Yes58817¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes5384¢0¢$0−$22−$0.83
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?Yes53315¢0¢$0−$80$0
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes52946¢0¢$0−$243$0
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes5283.9¢0¢$0−$21$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes50049¢0¢$0−$245+$15
Will Mona Fastvold be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes47113¢0¢$0−$61$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No4690.4¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes44597.4¢0¢$0−$433$0
M25 Zlatibor: Aleksandar Lavrnja vs Dragos Nicolae MadarasAleksandar Lavrnja4234.7¢0¢$0−$20−$0.95
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??Yes41967¢0¢$0−$281$0
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No41835.2¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?Yes4161.7¢0¢$0−$6.96$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes41514.8¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?Yes4005¢0¢$0−$20−$0.95
Will "Kevin Hart: Acting My Age" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)No39486.3¢0¢$0−$340$0
OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?Yes36014¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?Yes34416¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes3405.9¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes3366.3¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes33068¢0¢$0−$225$0
Will "Runner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No32313.4¢0¢$0−$43−$2.00
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?Yes3061¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?No29083¢0¢$0−$241$0
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes2866.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.92
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?Yes2843.3¢0¢$0−$9.32$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes28314.6¢0¢$0−$41$0
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?Yes27014.4¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?Yes26710¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes26033¢0¢$0−$86$0
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes25639¢0¢$0−$100+$32
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes2563.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.48
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Yes25015.5¢0¢$0−$39+$8.07
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?No25010¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will "Keeper" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?Yes2488.8¢0¢$0−$22$0
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?Yes24039.9¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?Yes23347.3¢0¢$0−$110−$2.90
San Diego 2: Dinko Dinev vs Dylan DietrichDinko Dinev23113¢0¢$0−$30−$1.30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes2309¢0¢$0−$21−$0.94
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?No23027.7¢0¢$0−$64$0
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?No23087.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Ljubljana: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Ekaterine GorgodzeMaria Lourdes Carle2254.9¢0¢$0−$11−$0.51
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?Yes22539¢0¢$0−$88−$2.67
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-03?Yes2209.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?No21875.9¢0¢$0−$165$0
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes21823¢0¢$0−$50$0
Georgia State vs. Old DominionGeorgia State2015¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
UNCG Spartans vs. Furman PaladinsUNCG Spartans20154.8¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?Yes20054¢0¢$0−$108−$2.48
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-02?Yes20010¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No20039¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will “Death by Lightning” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)Yes2005¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-09-20?Yes2001¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-09-20?Yes2001¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? No20083¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes20011¢0¢$0−$22$0
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?No20014¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No19953¢0¢$0−$105−$1.25
Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over19887¢0¢$0−$172$0
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes19541¢0¢$0−$80−$2.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes19570.9¢0¢$0−$138$0
Will MrBeast hit 463 Million subscribers by January 31?No19510.3¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY OverIndependiente Valle Del Cauca vs. Tigres FC: O/U 0.589¢259$23185%45
SELL YesWill FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?99.9¢147$14785%45
BUY OverCD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.552¢38$2085%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 5.511.9¢84$1085%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 4.547¢106$5085%45
SELL OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.599.9¢167$16785%45
BUY YesWill FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10?73.1¢147$10885%45
SELL OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.599.9¢109$10985%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.569¢167$11585%45
SELL OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.599¢118$11785%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.571.9¢227$16485%45
SELL OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.599¢168$16685%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.592¢168$15485%45
SELL OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.599¢157$15585%45
BUY OverFC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.592¢157$14485%45
SELL NoWill "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?5¢71$3.5785%45
BUY Mackenzie McDonaldBraga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer65¢31$2085%45
BUY YesExact Score: Any Other Score?12¢42$5.0085%45
BUY YesExact Score: Any Other Score?14¢36$5.0085%45
BUY YesExact Score: Any Other Score?17.8¢28$5.0085%45