sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,680

roboraptors

0xc0b…9d96
PoliticsCultureSportOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,766vol $230k
PnL 30d−$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.70win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.4%adj 57.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,002cash n/a
Positions36 / 237open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,615below peak −$1,534Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?No80211¢100¢$802+$714$0
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No68599.9¢100¢$685+$0.69$0
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts96950¢50¢$485$0$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI49734¢4.5¢$22−$147$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?No464¢100¢$4.00+$1.44−$246
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?No486¢92.5¢$3.70+$0.26−$6.04
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes445¢15.5¢$0.62−$1.18$0
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes2111.2¢0.4¢$0.09−$2.31+$58
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Over1,80835¢0¢$0−$633$0
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over1,21316¢0¢$0−$194$0
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?No1,07313.9¢0¢$0−$149$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes1,07311¢0¢$0−$118$0
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Under98589¢0¢$0−$877$0
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?No68374¢0¢$0−$505$0
Will Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)No66933¢0¢$0−$221$0
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State MountaineersLouisiana-Monroe Warhawks62225.3¢0¢$0−$157$0
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?Yes56443¢0¢$0−$243$0
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Over56424¢0¢$0−$135$0
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?No36123¢0¢$0−$83−$0.52
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over30034¢0¢$0−$102$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersBlackburn Beavers29820.1¢0¢$0−$60$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown27850¢0¢$0−$139$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp26924¢0¢$0−$65$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No24132¢0¢$0−$77$0
Olympiacos B.C. vs. FenerbahceFenerbahce21748.7¢0¢$0−$106$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders21016.1¢0¢$0−$34$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC16016¢0¢$0−$26$0
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ETDown15350¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?No12157¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Yes1000.8¢0¢$0−$0.82−$0.09
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?No9423¢0¢$0−$22+$79
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI8413.9¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes5944¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes402.4¢0¢$0−$0.96$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?Yes311.2¢0¢$0−$0.37+$1.14
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?Yes10.6¢0¢$0−$0.01−$60

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?11¢802$8858%46
BUY Western Carolina CatamountsClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts50¢969$48558%46
SELL NoWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?30¢502$15158%46
SELL NoWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?30¢570$17158%46
SELL NoWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?30.2¢83$2558%46
SELL NoWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?70¢877$61458%46
BUY UnderGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.589¢985$87758%46
BUY NoWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?71¢877$62358%46
BUY NoWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?27¢1,155$31258%46
SELL NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?26¢18$4.6858%46
SELL NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?26¢381$9958%46
SELL NoWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?80¢514$41158%46
SELL NoWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?81¢133$10858%46
SELL NoWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?84¢308$25958%46
BUY NoWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?85¢308$26258%46
BUY NoWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?81¢647$52458%46
BUY OpenAIWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?13.9¢84$1258%46
BUY NoWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?79¢399$31558%46
SELL NoNew pandemic in 2026?88¢582$51258%46
SELL NoWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?51¢350$17958%46