PnL all-time+$142vol $19.6k
PnL 30d−$57gains $143 · losses $87
PnL 7d−$96win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate50.7%adj 50.5% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$281cash n/a
Positions18 / 91open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale31
Adjusted win rateraw 50.7% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Natus Vincere qualify for EWC 2026? · Noclosed+$137Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$104Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · Noopen+$87Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15? · Noclosed+$64Will Karmine Corp qualify for EWC 2026? · Yesclosed+$47
Worst markets
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? · Noopen−$100Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Noclosed−$47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Downclosed−$42Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026? · Noclosed−$40Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Noopen−$40
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Yamal | 415 | 50.6¢ | 44¢ | $183 | −$27 | −$9.32 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 53 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $50 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 56 | 89.2¢ | 85.4¢ | $48 | −$2.12 | $0 |
Recent trades
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