sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,170

bellotas500

0xc17…5cde@alex_pereiradj
SharpWR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,942vol $254k
PnL 30d+$2,894gains $14.0k · losses $2,740
PnL 7d+$1,331win rate 7d 77.1%
Win rate73.0%adj 72.1% · 30d 75.8%
Open value$1,733cash n/a
Positions491 / 1,191open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.3%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,973below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?Yes1,76845.1¢94.5¢$1,671+$874+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?Yes1,27962.1¢4.5¢$58−$737−$10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 13?Yes49714.1¢0.9¢$4.48−$66$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or below on September 26?Yes1,2110.5¢0¢$0−$5.82−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 24?Yes1,1302.1¢0¢$0−$23−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 14?Yes1,0652.3¢0¢$0−$24−$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?Yes87226.3¢0¢$0−$230−$4.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?Yes7729.7¢0¢$0−$75−$2.81
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 9?Yes73917¢0¢$0−$126−$7.30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26?Yes70641.5¢0¢$0−$293−$4.42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 8?Yes67829¢0¢$0−$196−$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 9?Yes6699.2¢0¢$0−$62−$2.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25?Yes64650.4¢0¢$0−$325−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?Yes60118.8¢0¢$0−$113−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 8?Yes56517.5¢0¢$0−$99−$2.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 9?Yes5511¢0¢$0−$5.26−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 23?Yes5496¢0¢$0−$33−$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 9?Yes51831.4¢0¢$0−$163−$3.97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 4?Yes5133.1¢0¢$0−$16−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17?Yes50219¢0¢$0−$96−$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 17?Yes5005¢0¢$0−$25−$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 26?Yes5000.9¢0¢$0−$4.29−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 16?Yes5009.9¢0¢$0−$49−$2.22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29?Yes4916.4¢0¢$0−$31−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21?Yes47940.4¢0¢$0−$194−$2.66
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 20?Yes46717.5¢0¢$0−$82−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9?Yes44528.8¢0¢$0−$128−$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 9?Yes44026.5¢0¢$0−$117−$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 2?Yes43419.8¢0¢$0−$86−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?Yes4176.2¢0¢$0−$26+$58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7?Yes4177¢0¢$0−$29−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 6?Yes41632.9¢0¢$0−$137−$2.69
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 11°C on September 7?Yes4147.5¢0¢$0−$31−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12?Yes41226.8¢0¢$0−$111−$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 25?Yes4064.1¢0¢$0−$16−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?Yes4006¢0¢$0−$24−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 25?Yes3991¢0¢$0−$3.89−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 30?Yes39148.6¢0¢$0−$190−$2.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 2?Yes39062.6¢0¢$0−$245−$27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 17?Yes3855.2¢0¢$0−$20−$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 17?Yes3773.7¢0¢$0−$14−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 26?Yes3778¢0¢$0−$30−$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 1?Yes3750.8¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 6?Yes37420.1¢0¢$0−$75−$2.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?Yes37028.5¢0¢$0−$105−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 2?Yes36623.3¢0¢$0−$85−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 12?Yes35454.7¢0¢$0−$194−$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?Yes34811.9¢0¢$0−$42−$1.34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 18?Yes3468.1¢0¢$0−$28−$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 6?Yes3446.2¢0¢$0−$21−$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1?Yes34340.5¢0¢$0−$139−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Yes33727.5¢0¢$0−$93−$2.49
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12?Yes33149.6¢0¢$0−$164−$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?Yes32858.1¢0¢$0−$191−$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 22?Yes32518.1¢0¢$0−$59−$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 12?Yes32428.1¢0¢$0−$91+$88
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?Yes31211.2¢0¢$0−$35−$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 9?Yes31010.3¢0¢$0−$32−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 9?Yes3050¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?Yes30533.5¢0¢$0−$102+$6.62
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?Yes30448.8¢0¢$0−$148−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20?Yes30448.7¢0¢$0−$148−$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?Yes30124¢0¢$0−$72−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?Yes30011.7¢0¢$0−$35−$1.38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24?Yes30036¢0¢$0−$108−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?Yes30013.7¢0¢$0−$41−$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1?Yes2896.6¢0¢$0−$19+$2.68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?Yes28820.1¢0¢$0−$58−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 19?Yes28151.1¢0¢$0−$144+$42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 2?Yes2767.8¢0¢$0−$22−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?Yes27510.2¢0¢$0−$28−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?Yes27440.3¢0¢$0−$110−$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 10?Yes2729.7¢0¢$0−$26−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 4?Yes27211¢0¢$0−$30−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 7?Yes2700.3¢0¢$0−$0.72$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?Yes26823.5¢0¢$0−$63−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?Yes26458.9¢0¢$0−$155−$2.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?Yes26251.1¢0¢$0−$134−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?Yes26224.3¢0¢$0−$64−$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 3?Yes26012.4¢0¢$0−$32−$0.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 26?Yes25825.3¢0¢$0−$65−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 20?Yes25848.6¢0¢$0−$125−$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 10?Yes25633.5¢0¢$0−$86−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 17?Yes25157.2¢0¢$0−$144−$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 15?Yes24918.3¢0¢$0−$46−$1.41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 18?Yes2497.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?Yes24249.9¢0¢$0−$121−$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 21?Yes24222.8¢0¢$0−$55−$1.31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 10?Yes2421.1¢0¢$0−$2.58−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 2?Yes24030.6¢0¢$0−$73−$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?Yes2386.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 11?Yes23735.8¢0¢$0−$85−$2.56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 4?Yes23550¢0¢$0−$117−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 22?Yes23333.4¢0¢$0−$78−$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8?No22949.5¢0¢$0−$113−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 31?Yes22733.1¢0¢$0−$75−$2.31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?Yes22511.1¢0¢$0−$25−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5?Yes22214.1¢0¢$0−$31−$1.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?Yes21811.1¢0¢$0−$24−$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?Yes21763.3¢0¢$0−$137−$21

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?34¢100$3473%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?34.9¢100$3573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?66¢200$13273%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?63¢40$2573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?62¢100$6273%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?62¢200$12473%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 13?8.8¢200$1873%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?60.9¢45$2773%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?58.9¢200$11873%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?44¢200$8873%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?44¢400$17673%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?43¢5$2.1573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?41¢5$2.0573%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?63.1¢162$10273%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?19.8¢100$2073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 13?19¢53$1073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?68¢20$1473%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?68¢40$2773%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 13?19¢20$3.8073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?66¢40$2673%78Sharp