PnL all-time−$132vol $131k
PnL 30d−$2.69gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.08win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.3%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$262cash n/a
Positions5 / 20open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.1%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$128below peak −$91Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$286Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed−$60Biden drops out of presidential race? · Noclosed−$29Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? · Yesopen−$15Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$10
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 263 | 98.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $260 | −$0.13 | −$6.31 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17 | 36¢ | 14.2¢ | $2.36 | −$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | 48 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Yes | 19 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver 350000-375000 vehicles in Q2? | Yes | 5 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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