PnL all-time+$115vol $53.2k
PnL 30d+$6.00gains $5.62 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.75win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate94.6%adj 90.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$151cash n/a
Positions1 / 209open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$120below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 94.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10? · Yesclosed+$7.60Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17? · Yesclosed+$6.48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26? · Noclosed+$4.30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5? · Noclosed+$3.30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19? · Noclosed+$2.92
Worst markets
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 7? · Yesclosed−$8.16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3? · Yesclosed−$5.22Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? · Noclosed−$2.81Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 7? · Noclosed−$2.59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 3? · Noclosed−$1.09
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 152 | 99.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $151 | −$0.08 | $0 |
Recent trades
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