sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,340

dodged-a-bullet

0xc28…3480@crydevil_crypto
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$17.9kvol $7.38M
PnL 30d+$241gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$531win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.5%adj 48.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$17.4kcash n/a
Positions67 / 1,429open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.2%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$29.1kbelow peak −$963Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 48.5% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 51

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No4,70050¢86.9¢$4,082+$1,732$0
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4,45353.5¢87.5¢$3,896+$1,514+$83
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,30050¢92.2¢$2,119+$969$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No1,33881.3¢85.5¢$1,144+$56+$0.34
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,23028¢91.4¢$1,124+$779$0
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?No1,42146.1¢64.5¢$916+$262$0
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No83358.5¢95¢$792+$304$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,70050¢13.2¢$618−$1,732+$11
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No63224.5¢62¢$392+$237$0
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes40074¢96¢$384+$88$0
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No37367¢70.5¢$263+$13$0
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?No20677¢96.8¢$199+$41$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes20090¢97.7¢$195+$15$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,30050¢7.9¢$181−$969+$8.45
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No88271.1¢19.5¢$172−$455$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No59276.2¢22¢$130−$321$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No17435.9¢60¢$104+$42$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No73561.8¢13¢$96−$358$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No10066.7¢92.5¢$93+$26$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10067¢83.5¢$84+$17$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No68850.6¢11¢$76−$272$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.4¢$51−$29$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.3¢$36−$43$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No3953¢89.5¢$35+$14$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No42039.3¢5.5¢$23−$142$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.2¢$22−$58$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.2¢$22−$58$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes10033¢16.5¢$16−$16$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No2014¢68¢$14+$11$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.4¢$13−$12$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1097.3¢85.6¢$8.55−$1.18$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.1¢$7.25−$72$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.1¢$7.25−$72$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.1¢$7.25−$72$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.5k0.5¢0.1¢$7.25−$72$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No599¢99.8¢$5.04+$0.04$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.2¢$4.95−$20$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.2¢$4.95−$20$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.2¢$4.95−$20$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.2¢$4.95−$20$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.2¢$4.95−$20$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes10026¢4.5¢$4.50−$22$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3050.8¢1.4¢$4.12+$1.76$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3050.8¢1.2¢$3.66+$1.31$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes10010¢2.9¢$2.95−$7.05$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3050.8¢0.7¢$1.98−$0.37$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3050.8¢0.5¢$1.68−$0.68$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.1¢$1.65−$24$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.1¢$1.65−$24$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,3000.8¢0.1¢$1.65−$24$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No199.1¢99.5¢$1.00$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners43¢80$3449%51
BUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners8.4¢171$1449%51
BUY UnderSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.558.8¢100$5949%51
BUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?44.7¢218$9749%51
BUY UnderFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.550¢20$1049%51
BUY UnderFrance vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners56¢18$1049%51
BUY SpainFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance44.2¢452$20049%51
BUY NoWill France win on 2026-07-14?63.2¢316$20049%51
BUY NoBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?46.2¢992$45849%51
BUY NoBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?66.8¢200$13449%51
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?29.9¢399$11949%51
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?60¢400$24049%51
BUY NoOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?55.9¢10$5.5949%51
BUY NoOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?54.9¢88$4849%51
BUY NoOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?54.4¢1,828$99549%51
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?77¢206$15949%51
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?57¢400$22849%51
BUY NoAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?26.7¢724$19349%51
BUY NoBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?25.7¢502$12949%51
BUY NoBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?51¢228$11749%51