PnL all-time+$2,349vol $60.8k
PnL 30d+$2,419gains $3,103 · losses $642
PnL 7d+$2,301win rate 7d 78.8%
Win rate80.2%adj 75.0% · 30d 80.2%
Open value$3,517cash n/a
Positions5 / 101open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.2%of equity peak
Account age8dlast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,420below peak −$274Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 80.2% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6? · Noclosed+$267Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? · Yesclosed+$245Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5? · Noclosed+$238Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6? · Yesclosed+$182Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 5? · Noclosed+$175
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6? · Yesclosed−$114Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? · Yesclosed−$105Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 9? · Yesclosed−$72Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 9? · Noclosed−$69Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · Noopen−$46
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | No | 2,934 | 96.7¢ | 98.1¢ | $2,878 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10? | No | 649 | 98.4¢ | 98.4¢ | $639 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | No | 229 | 12¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.34 | −$27 | −$19 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9? | Yes | 300 | 10.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.15 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 3? | Yes | 26 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | +$9.47 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s