PnL all-time−$485vol $11.5k
PnL 30d−$230gains $0.06 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.4%adj 66.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$232cash n/a
Positions9 / 40open / all-time
Max drawdown−75.7%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 25d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$482below peak −$589Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 77.4% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d16
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Downclosed+$130Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Downclosed+$21Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State · Ole Missclosed+$20Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Noclosed+$3.55Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$2.91
Worst markets
CSA T20 Series: Dolphins vs Lions (Game 1) · Lionsclosed−$102Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Downclosed−$90Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Downopen−$74Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET · Upopen−$68Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Downopen−$53
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | 232 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $232 | +$2.32 | −$0.12 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3AM ET | Down | 613 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 499 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Down | 300 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 295 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Down | 206 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Up | 195 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | 152 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11AM ET | Up | 150 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$68 | $0 |
Recent trades
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