sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,429

machbut

0xc2d…6781
WhalePnL 10k+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.0kvol $6.77M
PnL 30d−$1,489gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$3,863win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.8%adj 52.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$119kcash n/a
Positions7 / 46open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 32d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$35.0kbelow peak −$65.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 7

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes339k20.2¢18¢$60.9k−$7,569−$857
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes438k12.1¢13.2¢$57.6k+$4,516−$149
Will the next elected US president be a woman?Yes68921.1¢20¢$138−$7.69$0
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes7431¢31.5¢$23+$0.37$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes101k5.3¢0¢$0−$5,397−$153
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes95.3k3.5¢0¢$0−$3,334−$97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy6,39324.1¢0¢$0−$1,541−$58

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75.1¢14.0k$10.5k54%29Whale
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75.5¢12.4k$9,35554%29
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?12.9¢1,644$21254%29
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75.8¢30.3k$23.0k54%29Whale
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?76.4¢5,417$4,13954%29
BUY YesWill the next elected US president be a woman?21.5¢147$3254%29
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?20¢1,281$25654%29
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.8¢700$8354%29
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.1¢31.1k$3,44254%29
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?74.8¢13.8k$10.3k54%29Whale
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75¢15.5k$11.7k54%29Whale
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?19.7¢10.4k$2,03954%29
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?10.4¢10.4k$1,08254%29
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?74.6¢53.0k$39.5k54%29Whale
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?74.6¢8$5.9654%29
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?74.7¢676$50554%29
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75.1¢19.1k$14.3k54%29Whale
SELL NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?75.5¢13.9k$10.5k54%29Whale
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?18.2¢5,918$1,07954%29
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?19¢7,702$1,46554%29