sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,025

dreivierteljaeger

0xc2e…e288
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$22.4kvol $2.36M
PnL 30d+$170gains $5,599 · losses $407
PnL 7d−$225win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate83.6%adj 82.3% · 30d 76.5%
Open value$29.0kcash n/a
Positions151 / 2,300open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$18.3kbelow peak −$21.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No35.4k73.8¢81¢$28.6k+$2,534+$110
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No1,58044.4¢19.5¢$308−$394$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1079.8¢80.2¢$8.02+$0.04$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1012.5¢7.4¢$0.73−$0.52$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes7,85354.2¢0¢$0−$4,253−$58
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes7,19013.9¢0¢$0−$1,000−$34
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?Yes3,60093.3¢0¢$0−$3,358−$3.29
Will England win on 2026-07-01?No3,56473.4¢0¢$0−$2,614−$18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes3,29220.1¢0¢$0−$661−$52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No2,9601.7¢0¢$0−$49−$2.39
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal2,00090¢0¢$0−$1,800−$5.40
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.10
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,51579.5¢0¢$0−$1,205−$1.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,34316.9¢0¢$0−$228−$6.22
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes1,20036.2¢0¢$0−$435−$7.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes1,04043.1¢0¢$0−$449+$75
United States leading at halftime?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes93316.1¢0¢$0−$150−$6.29
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes92459.5¢0¢$0−$550−$6.67
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?No8004.7¢0¢$0−$37−$1.28
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes78919¢0¢$0−$150−$3.65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes69372.2¢0¢$0−$500−$4.17
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes52619¢0¢$0−$100−$2.43
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes51183.7¢0¢$0−$428−$296
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt50080¢0¢$0−$400−$1.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp5001¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.35
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes48988¢0¢$0−$430−$5,738
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes45031.2¢0¢$0−$140−$2.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp40612.2¢0¢$0−$50−$3.01
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes40084.5¢0¢$0−$338−$1.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown39777.4¢0¢$0−$307−$4.26
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes37059.4¢0¢$0−$220−$4.46
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes34529¢0¢$0−$100−$2.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown34280.4¢0¢$0−$275−$2.75
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes3333¢0¢$0−$10.00−$89
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes31332¢0¢$0−$100−$2.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown30317.2¢0¢$0−$52−$1.94
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands26485.3¢0¢$0−$225−$399
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes25263.5¢0¢$0−$160−$1.69
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?Yes25015¢0¢$0−$37−$0.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp23485.4¢0¢$0−$200−$2.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes20059¢0¢$0−$118−$1.45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No20086.3¢0¢$0−$173−$0.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown20077¢0¢$0−$154−$2.23
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No20082¢0¢$0−$164−$0.89
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes20095¢0¢$0−$190−$0.28
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes20088.5¢0¢$0−$177−$0.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes19252¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes19252¢0¢$0−$100−$1.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETDown18554¢0¢$0−$100−$3.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown17917.3¢0¢$0−$31−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown17870.4¢0¢$0−$125−$2.59
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1755.7¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp17486.1¢0¢$0−$150−$1.42
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22?Yes17237.7¢0¢$0−$65−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown17073.3¢0¢$0−$125−$1.80
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes16712¢0¢$0−$20−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETDown16590.6¢0¢$0−$150−$0.98
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes16461¢0¢$0−$100−$1.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETDown15485.6¢0¢$0−$132−$1.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp14816.9¢0¢$0−$25−$1.45
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes14335¢0¢$0−$50−$0.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown14370¢0¢$0−$100−$2.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown14126.1¢0¢$0−$37−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp13872.6¢0¢$0−$100−$1.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp13891.5¢0¢$0−$126−$0.71
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes13524.2¢0¢$0−$33+$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown1254¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.34
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes12427¢0¢$0−$33−$0.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown1198.4¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp11864.6¢0¢$0−$76−$1.06
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes11686¢0¢$0−$100−$0.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp1091.8¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.13
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No10039¢0¢$0−$39−$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes10033¢0¢$0−$33−$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No10052¢0¢$0−$52−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?Yes10046¢0¢$0−$46−$1.24
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes10046¢0¢$0−$46−$0.75
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes10019¢0¢$0−$19−$0.46
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes10028¢0¢$0−$28−$0.60
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?Yes1009¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.41
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes10054¢0¢$0−$54−$33
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No1004.2¢0¢$0−$4.20$0
Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No10049¢0¢$0−$49−$0.10
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No10048¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Yes10013¢0¢$0−$13−$0.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown9920.1¢0¢$0−$20−$0.20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes9155¢0¢$0−$50−$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp8378.5¢0¢$0−$65−$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp7777.7¢0¢$0−$60−$0.93
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes7567¢0¢$0−$50−$7.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown6738.6¢0¢$0−$26−$0.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETDown6645.6¢0¢$0−$30−$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp6477.9¢0¢$0−$50−$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown5920.3¢0¢$0−$12−$0.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETUp5267.2¢0¢$0−$35−$0.56

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?61¢10$6.1084%43
SELL NoWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?0.5¢5,232$2984%43
SELL NoWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?0.8¢175$1.4184%43
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?34¢164$5684%43
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?34¢100$3484%43
SELL YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20.6¢10$2.0684%43
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?72¢143$10384%43
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?98.7¢1,114$1,09984%43
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?97.4¢2,789$2,71784%43
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?97.8¢1,000$97884%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?85¢1,000$85084%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?71¢1,000$71084%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12¢200$2484%43
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET67¢22$1584%43
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET66¢8$5.0084%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12¢417$5084%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?12¢417$5084%43
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?47.4¢844$40084%43
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?45.9¢218$10084%43
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?45.7¢219$10084%43