sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,960

DawnOfYemen

0xc34…6007
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$31.4kvol $2.28M
PnL 30d+$681gains $2,113 · losses $707
PnL 7d+$237win rate 7d 92.9%
Win rate74.1%adj 73.2% · 30d 76.6%
Open value$15.0kcash n/a
Positions28 / 1,588open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 74.1% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No4,00095.9¢97¢$3,878+$42$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No1,61595.2¢98.1¢$1,584+$46+$48
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes1,20091.3¢96.4¢$1,156+$60$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No1,12096.4¢99.9¢$1,118+$38$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,00015.7¢18.1¢$1,083+$140+$916
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No1,18883.3¢87¢$1,034+$44+$24
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?No70096¢99¢$693+$21$0
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?No66588.8¢93¢$619+$28$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No50094¢95.4¢$477+$6.75+$37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?No50091.2¢91.5¢$458+$1.50$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00053.2¢44.2¢$442−$90$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes79260.6¢54.5¢$432−$48+$6.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes1,00051.7¢38.5¢$385−$132$0
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No38091¢95¢$361+$15$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes70047.1¢40.9¢$287−$43$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No26089.8¢95.5¢$248+$15$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No21599.2¢98.7¢$212−$1.12$0
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes100k0.2¢0.1¢$100−$90$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes15066¢65¢$98−$1.50+$5.50
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?Yes40027¢20¢$80−$28$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10066¢71.5¢$72+$5.50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes10068¢70.5¢$70+$2.49+$6.40
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?No5687¢90.5¢$51+$1.96+$0.39
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes100.0k0.5¢0.1¢$50−$467$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.0k0.3¢0.2¢$30−$30$0
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.0k0.2¢0.1¢$10−$10$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes6661.5¢14¢$9.17−$31+$6.75
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1065¢13.5¢$1.35−$5.15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)96.2¢57$5574%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?53¢392$20874%83Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?96¢250$24074%83Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?62¢400$24874%83Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?97.1¢250$24374%83Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?92¢50$4674%83Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?92¢150$13874%83Sharp
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?99.2¢215$21374%83Sharp
SELL NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?99.6¢150$14974%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?98.9¢80$7974%83Sharp
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?99.5¢300$29974%83Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)98.6¢269$26574%83Sharp
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?97.1¢250$24374%83Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)98.4¢290$28574%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?87.1¢50$4474%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?85.1¢40$3474%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?87.5¢5$4.4574%83Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?86.6¢55$4874%83Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?77.7¢28$2274%83Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?75.7¢20$1574%83Sharp