Traders/Rank #2,190

mrtrump

0xc3b…e70f@1woos77f650813

WhalePnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$35.4kvol $21.0M

PnL 30d−$126gains $9,931 · losses $3,718

PnL 7d+$625win rate 7d 60.0%

Win rate44.9%adj 45.1% · 30d 65.8%

Open value$31.6kcash n/a

Positions237 / 2,283open / all-time

Max drawdown−36.9%of equity peak

Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$42.4kbelow peak −$19.0kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65

Adjusted win rateraw 44.9% · shrunk toward 50%13

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? · Yesclosed+$10.2k Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Upclosed+$10.0k Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Downclosed+$7,500 Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · Yesclosed+$7,000 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$4,472

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Downclosed−$10.0k Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Upclosed−$7,500 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22? · Noclosed−$3,500 Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic? · Noclosed−$2,200 Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway? · Noclosed−$2,200

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	12.1k	86.3¢	86.8¢	$10.5k	+$55	+$0.23	25mo
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.5k	13.6¢	17.8¢	$3,115	+$747	+$959	25mo
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	3,000	84.7¢	84.5¢	$2,535	−$5.00	+$7.10	8mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.5k	10.5¢	15.1¢	$2,483	+$758	+$483	25mo
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	4,000	50.5¢	48.4¢	$1,938	−$82	−$15	25mo
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	2,210	9¢	80.3¢	$1,775	+$1,575	+$1.23	3mo
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10.3k	12.6¢	12.5¢	$1,284	−$14	+$17	8mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.0k	4.1¢	5.5¢	$817	+$207	+$752	25mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	29.9k	1.2¢	2¢	$583	+$212	+$120	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3,697	8.2¢	15.5¢	$571	+$267	+$2,216	25mo
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	24.5k	0.6¢	1.6¢	$393	+$236	+$34	25mo
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1,506	20¢	22.5¢	$339	+$38	+$3.00	9mo
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	6,000	9¢	5.5¢	$327	−$213	+$5.00	8mo
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	3,841	15.3¢	8.5¢	$327	−$263	+$6.53	3mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	80.5k	0.4¢	0.4¢	$322	−$13	$0	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	23.0k	0.7¢	1.4¢	$311	+$141	$0	25mo
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2,406	10.4¢	10.5¢	$253	+$1.71	−$3.17	8mo
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,000	12.3¢	12.5¢	$250	+$3.34	+$56	6mo
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,000	8¢	11.5¢	$230	+$70	+$19	6mo
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	3,232	15.1¢	5.7¢	$183	−$307	+$241	3mo
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	3,000	3.4¢	6.1¢	$181	+$79	+$30	6mo
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	4,467	15¢	4.1¢	$181	−$488	+$11	3mo
Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	924	19¢	19.5¢	$180	+$4.62	$0	ended
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10,000	1¢	1.6¢	$160	+$60	+$335	25mo
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	2,006	7¢	7.7¢	$153	+$13	+$13	6mo
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	3,000	5.4¢	5¢	$149	−$14	+$14	6mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.5k	0.7¢	0.7¢	$146	−$14	$0	25mo
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	200	63¢	70.5¢	$141	+$15	$0	ended
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	140	91.6¢	93.3¢	$131	+$2.31	$0	21mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,000	0.7¢	2.5¢	$123	+$85	+$218	25mo
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	328	10.4¢	31.2¢	$102	+$68	$0	3mo
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	199	47.5¢	46.5¢	$93	−$1.99	$0	ended
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	400	22¢	22.5¢	$90	+$2.00	$0	ended
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	8,106	1.7¢	0.9¢	$73	−$65	−$6.39	16d 17h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	6,000	3.8¢	1.2¢	$69	−$159	+$0.97	6mo
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	200	37¢	33.5¢	$67	−$7.00	$0	ended
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Yes	80	25¢	68¢	$54	+$34	$0	5mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,160	0.7¢	1¢	$49	+$11	+$22	25mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,999	0.7¢	1¢	$47	+$12	+$71	25mo
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	291	15¢	15.5¢	$45	+$1.46	$0	21mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$42	−$152	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$42	−$152	$0	25mo
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$42	−$152	$0	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$42	−$152	$0	25mo
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$42	−$152	$0	25mo
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	No	100	27¢	41.5¢	$41	+$14	$0	ended
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.7¢	$36	−$4.85	+$101	25mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.5k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$34	−$127	$0	25mo
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	354	9¢	9.5¢	$34	+$1.77	$0	ended
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12.7k	0.4¢	0.3¢	$32	−$23	+$392	25mo
Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	555	6¢	4.5¢	$25	−$8.32	$0	ended
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?	Yes	200	5¢	12.3¢	$25	+$15	$0	5mo
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	22.6k	1.2¢	0.1¢	$23	−$254	+$21	16d 17h
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	5,000	0.3¢	0.5¢	$23	+$7.50	$0	8mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?	Yes	80	20¢	27¢	$22	+$5.61	$0	23d 17h
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	11.7k	2¢	0.2¢	$18	−$218	+$10	16d 17h
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.6k	0.2¢	0.2¢	$16	−$5.28	+$71	25mo
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?	Yes	17	50¢	90.6¢	$15	+$6.74	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	76	22.2¢	19.5¢	$15	−$2.06	$0	23d 17h
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.1k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$180	$0	25mo
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.3¢	$14	−$28	+$26	25mo
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.3¢	$14	−$28	+$180	25mo
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	200	7¢	6.5¢	$13	−$1.00	$0	20d 17h
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	12.6k	1.2¢	0.1¢	$13	−$143	−$99	16d 17h
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	27	35¢	44.5¢	$12	+$2.52	$0	3mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.5k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$11	−$149	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.5k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$11	−$149	$0	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.5k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$11	−$149	$0	25mo
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	300	3.1¢	3.8¢	$11	+$1.95	$0	9mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	22.1k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$11	−$147	−$0.88	25mo
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	18	52¢	59¢	$11	+$1.26	$0	8mo
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	100	37¢	10.5¢	$11	−$27	+$1,953	16d 17h
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	100	10.3¢	10.3¢	$10	−$0.05	$0	8mo
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	16	62.5¢	60.5¢	$9.68	−$0.32	$0	9mo
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	16	13.2¢	59.4¢	$9.65	+$7.50	$0	3mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	Yes	60	11¢	16¢	$9.60	+$3.00	$0	23d 17h
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	300	2.9¢	3.2¢	$9.45	+$0.75	$0	9mo
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	6,119	2.1¢	0.2¢	$9.18	−$120	−$0.41	16d 17h
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$60	25mo
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$35	25mo
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$12	25mo
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$43	25mo
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$30	$0	25mo
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$46	25mo
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.41	−$33	+$95	25mo
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,549	0.7¢	0.2¢	$8.32	−$33	+$14	25mo
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?	Yes	87	34¢	8¢	$6.96	−$23	$0	5mo
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	5,028	1.2¢	0.1¢	$5.03	−$54	+$76	16d 17h
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?	Yes	37	10¢	10¢	$3.66	$0	$0	3mo
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	4	76¢	78¢	$3.25	+$0.08	$0	25mo
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$27	25mo
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$8.19	25mo
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$9.65	25mo
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$18	25mo
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$29	25mo
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$19	25mo
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$36	$0	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$36	$0	25mo
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	5,603	0.7¢	0.1¢	$2.80	−$39	+$76	25mo
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?	Yes	589	8.7¢	0.5¢	$2.65	−$48	+$2.41	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1¢	39	$0.39	45%	57
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	5.9¢	977	$58	45%	57
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Turkey win the UEFA EURO 2028?	1.2¢	1,700	$21	45%	57
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	17.9¢	678	$121	45%	57
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.3¢	58.0k	$174	45%	57
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	10¢	2,347	$235	45%	57
17d ago	SELL No	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	12¢	93	$11	45%	57
25d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	8.7¢	6	$0.52	45%	57
25d ago	BUY Grüne	Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?	64¢	20	$13	45%	57
25d ago	BUY Yes	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	10.5¢	231	$24	45%	57
27d ago	BUY Yes	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	37¢	811	$300	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	17¢	300	$51	45%	57
28d ago	SELL Yes	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 1 AS Monaco FC?	48¢	600	$288	45%	57
28d ago	BUY	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? AND Will 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	11.5¢	83	$9.58	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 1 AS Monaco FC?	16¢	100	$16	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-09-12?	27¢	100	$27	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 1 AS Monaco FC?	17¢	100	$17	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1 - 1 AS Monaco FC?	17¢	400	$68	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-09-12?	27¢	500	$135	45%	57
28d ago	BUY Yes	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12?	8.9¢	170	$15	45%	57