sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,548

UbuntuTrading

0xc3c…816c@buckyandlucky
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$125kvol $48.9M
PnL 30d−$32.6kgains $78.5k · losses $34.5k
PnL 7d−$13.9kwin rate 7d 49.2%
Win rate46.4%adj 46.5% · 30d 46.4%
Open value$2,230cash n/a
Positions334 / 6,554open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.6%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$202kbelow peak −$19.2kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 46.4% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No20041¢40.5¢$81−$1.00$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes50014¢14.5¢$72+$2.50+$672
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes40018¢18¢$72$0+$0.47
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes5002¢13.5¢$67+$58+$69
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes31320¢19.5¢$61−$1.56+$108
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,3003.7¢4.5¢$59+$10+$40
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes5002.3¢10.5¢$53+$41$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes1520¢33.5¢$51+$51$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes3749.1¢13¢$49+$15+$128
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No20022¢22.5¢$45+$1.00−$43
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes38711¢11.5¢$44+$1.93+$1,014
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes1220¢35.5¢$43+$43$0
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes3255.1¢12.5¢$41+$24+$24
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes6002.6¢6.5¢$39+$23$0
Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Yes27515¢14¢$38−$2.75$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes20019¢18.5¢$37−$1.00+$2.00
Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes20017¢17.5¢$35+$1.00$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No25919¢13.5¢$35−$14+$2.08
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes30012¢11.5¢$35−$1.50+$2.75
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes6002.6¢5.5¢$33+$17$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes5003.6¢6.5¢$32+$15+$37
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes21615¢15¢$32$0+$38
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes20016¢15.5¢$31−$1.00+$2.00
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes14921.7¢20.5¢$31−$1.79+$0.73
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes25013¢11.5¢$29−$3.75+$5.00
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes10029¢28.5¢$29−$0.50−$13
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes2002.3¢13.5¢$27+$22$0
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes5005.1¢5.1¢$26+$0.25+$7.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes30011¢8.5¢$26−$7.50−$9.00
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?No20014¢12.5¢$25−$3.00+$56
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes2002.3¢12.5¢$25+$20−$9.00
Will Columbus Blue Jackets be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes4632.7¢5.4¢$25+$12$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No20015¢11.5¢$23−$7.05+$559
Will Colorado Avalanche be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Yes11421¢20¢$23−$1.14$0
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes10024¢22.5¢$23−$1.50$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Yes20010¢10.5¢$21+$1.00$0
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes15613¢13.5¢$21+$0.78$0
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes12416¢16.5¢$20+$0.62+$2.10
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes3635.2¢5.2¢$19+$0.11+$17
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,1471.7¢1.6¢$18−$1.99+$66
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes5003.9¢3.5¢$18−$2.04$0
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5003.3¢3.4¢$17+$0.25+$3,120
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes12014¢13.5¢$16−$0.60+$68
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes5002.3¢3.2¢$16+$4.65$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes5001.6¢3¢$15+$7.00−$1.80
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes5945.8¢2.5¢$15−$20−$1.54
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes10015¢14.5¢$15−$0.50$0
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes542.1¢26.7¢$14+$13+$0.36
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes2002.3¢7¢$14+$9.46$0
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes552.1¢25.1¢$14+$13$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No3005¢4.5¢$14−$1.50+$395
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes552.1¢24.5¢$13+$12$0
Will the Orlando Magic be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes5995.1¢2.1¢$13−$18$0
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Yes10021¢12.5¢$13−$8.50$0
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes552.1¢21.7¢$12+$11$0
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes2564¢4.5¢$12+$1.28−$3.56
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes7347.4¢1.6¢$11−$43+$168
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes5002.4¢2.3¢$11−$0.75+$1,924
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes17910.8¢6.1¢$11−$8.50+$111
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes4006¢2.5¢$10−$14$0
Will the Denver Nuggets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?Yes1520¢6.5¢$9.89+$9.89$0
Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes3504.5¢2.8¢$9.80−$5.93−$15
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?No2052¢47.5¢$9.50−$0.90−$3.40
Will the Philadelphia Flyers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes6002.6¢1.6¢$9.30−$6.47$0
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes5002.2¢1.9¢$9.25−$1.75+$3.18
Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes5002.3¢1.9¢$9.25−$2.10$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.4k1.1¢0.1¢$9.22−$186−$4.66
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.4k1.1¢0.1¢$9.22−$186−$3.41
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.4k1.1¢0.1¢$9.22−$186−$5.06
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.4k1.1¢0.1¢$9.22−$186−$5.06
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes18.4k1.1¢0.1¢$9.22−$186−$5.06
Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes552.1¢16.4¢$9.01+$7.83$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?No2006¢4.5¢$9.00−$3.00$0
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Yes10015¢8.5¢$8.50−$6.50$0
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes2002.3¢4.2¢$8.40+$3.86$0
Will Anaheim Ducks be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Yes1834¢4.5¢$8.24+$0.92$0
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Yes552.1¢13¢$7.16+$5.99$0
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2333¢2.9¢$6.86−$0.12+$2,628
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes2002.3¢3.4¢$6.80+$2.26$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,0000.8¢0.7¢$6.50−$1.50+$377
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?No2004¢3.2¢$6.40−$1.60$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat?No1555¢4.1¢$6.36−$1.40$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?No2005¢3.2¢$6.30−$3.70$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?No11210¢5.5¢$6.14−$5.03−$2.59
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes10024.2¢6¢$6.00−$18+$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?No1505¢4¢$5.99−$1.50−$0.05
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,7003¢0.4¢$5.95−$45−$57
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.2k1.1¢0.1¢$5.58−$115+$19
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10.6k1.1¢0.1¢$5.28−$107−$41
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,0982.2¢0.3¢$5.24−$41$0
Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,0982.2¢0.3¢$5.24−$41$0
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes20012¢2.6¢$5.10−$19−$12
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes905¢5.5¢$4.96+$0.45+$11
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes3004.2¢1.7¢$4.95−$7.55+$29
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,9161.9¢0.3¢$4.79−$32−$3.64
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No675¢77¢$4.30+$0.11+$0.40
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No494¢97.8¢$4.29+$0.16$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Yes509¢8.5¢$4.25−$0.25−$3.00
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes2005.8¢2.1¢$4.20−$7.44−$21
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Yes8018¢4.8¢$3.84−$11−$0.20

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?41¢200$8246%61
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?22¢200$4446%61
SELL YesWill Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?1.9¢104$1.9846%61
SELL YesWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?12¢6$0.7246%61
SELL YesWill Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?20¢12$2.3146%61
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House70¢122$8646%61
SELL YesWill Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?21¢50$1146%61
SELL YesIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?22¢90$2046%61
SELL YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?15¢200$3046%61
SELL YesWill Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?4.7¢95$4.4846%61
SELL YesWill Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?16.7¢300$5046%61
SELL YesWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?17¢11$1.8046%61
SELL YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4¢200$8.0346%61
SELL YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?6.4¢128$8.1946%61
SELL NoWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?89¢74$6646%61
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?14.6¢1$0.2146%61
SELL NoWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?91.4¢50$4646%61
SELL NoWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?91.6¢52$4846%61
SELL NoWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?83.3¢99$8346%61
SELL NoWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?83.4¢200$16746%61